Research Excerpts

A Review Of Our Profitable 2016 Trading Ideas

Posted on: Tuesday, January 10th, 2017

In addition to our role as a top-down financial market strategist with a US focus and a global scope, we have always produced some specific trade ideas in individual assets.  However, we started doing much more of this in 2016 because, with the S&P 500 only gaining 1.4% in 2015, we wanted to add more value for subscribers.  And our clients have loved it, so we have made it a permanent addition to our research services.

When we put out a new idea it is included in one or more of our various reports.  It also appears in a table of all active and recently closed out trading ideas which resides in our Research Center, and includes stop loss levels.

We send an email notification to subscribers and interested investors whenever one of our price targets is met.  The list below is the result of a simple search of the phrase “target met” in the Research Center of our website.  There are 26 entries listed from newest to oldest.

You can click the linked titles to see the details of each entry.


ar-square_smallSearch Results for: target met

 

Upside Target Met In Russell 2000 (RUT)

The Russell 2000 (RUT) effectively met our 1400 upside target today, which was first mentioned in our July 13th 2016 report entitled Another Reason To Be Intermediate Term Bullish, by trading as high as 1395 intraday to capture a 194 point, 16% gain in about 5 months.

Click the highlighted title above to view the entire update and 2 accompanying charts. Continue reading

Upside Target Met In SPDR S&P Semiconductor ETF (XSD)

Posted on: Friday, December 9th, 2016

The SPDR S&P Semiconductor ETF (XSD) met our $57.50 upside target today, which was first mentioned in our October 24th Keys To This Week report, to capture a $6.31, 12% gain in about 5 weeks.

Upside Target Met In Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLF)

Posted on: Friday, December 9th, 2016

The Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLF) met our $24.00 today (September 30th), first mentioned in our October 31st Keys To This Week report, to capture a $4.26, 22% gain in about 5 weeks.

Upside Target Met In 2 Copper ETFs (COPX, JJC)

Posted on: Thursday, November 10th, 2016

The Global X Copper Miners ETF (COPX), providing investors access to a broad range of copper mining companies which we first mentioned in the November 1st Keys To This Week, met our $21.00 per share target today to capture a $3.50, 20% rise in less than 2 weeks.  … Continue reading …

Upside Target Met In US 10-Year Treasury Yields

Posted on: Wednesday, November 9th, 2016

The yield of the benchmark 10-Year Treasury Note met our 1.94% to 1.98% initial upside target today, first mentioned in our October 13th report, entitled Long Term US Rates At Major Inflection Point (access requires subscription), to capture a 23 basis point rise in a little less than a month.

Downside Target Met In SPDR Gold Trust (GLD)

Posted on: Tuesday, October 4th, 2016

The SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD, which tracks gold prices) met our $122.75 downside target this morning, initially discussed in the August 23rd Keys To This Week report (access requires subscription), to capture a $5.01, 4% profit in about 6 weeksContinue reading …

Upside Target Met In Caterpillar, Inc. (CAT)

Posted on: Friday, September 30th, 2016

Construction and mining equipment manufacturer Caterpillar, Inc. (CAT) met our $88.00 target today (September 30th), which equates to an $8.20 per share, 10% gain in about 10 weeksContinue reading …

Upside Target Met In Hong Kong Hang Seng Index (HKHS)

Posted on: Tuesday, August 16th, 2016

The Hong Kong Hang Seng Index (HKHS) met our initial 23,000 upside target today, which was first mentioned in the July 25th Keys To This Week report (access requires subscription), to capture a 1007 point, 5% rise in about 3 weeksContinue reading …

Upside Target Met In EEM

Posted on: Wednesday, August 10th, 2016

The iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Index Fund (EEM) came within $0.16 of meeting our $37.50 target today, which was first mentioned in the August 1st Keys To This Week report (access requires subscription), to capture a 3% rise in less than 2 weeksContinue reading …

Upside Target Met In Steel ETF (SLX)

Posted on: Monday, August 8th, 2016

The VanEck Vectors Steel ETF (SLX) has traded as high as $32.82 today, essentially meeting our $33.00 target that was first mentioned in our July 12th Keys To This Week report (access requires subscription) to capture a 7% rise in a little less than a monthContinue reading …

Upside Target Met In Cummins, Inc. (CMI)

Posted on: Wednesday, July 27th, 2016

Diesel and natural gas engine designer, manufacturer and distributor Cummins, Inc. (CMI) met our $124.00 target today (July 27th) to capture a $10.30 per share, 9% gain in the 3 1/2 months since we initially discussed it as a long … Continue reading …

(Another) Upside Target Met In Metals & Mining ETF (XME)

Posted on: Wednesday, July 27th, 2016

The SPDR S&P Metals and Mining ETF (XME) essentially met our $29.00 upside target today, by trading as high as $28.96 intraday, to capture a 17% advance in 3 weeks.  This idea and target were first displayed and discussed in … Continue reading …

Upside Target Met In Raytheon Co. (RTN)

Posted on: Wednesday, July 6th, 2016

Aerospace and defense company Raytheon Co. (RTN) met our $137.50 upside target today, which was initially mentioned in our May 10th Intermediate Term Outlook, to capture a $5.54 per share, 4% gain in about 2 monthsContinue reading …

Upside Target Met In Utilities Sector SPDR (XLU)

Posted on: Thursday, June 30th, 2016

The Utilities Sector SPDR ETF (XLU) met our $52.50 upside target today, first mentioned in our June 6th Keys To This Week report (access requires subscription), to capture a $2.49 per share, 5% gain in just over 3 weeksContinue reading …

Upside Target Met In CMS Energy Corporation (CMS)

Posted on: Monday, June 27th, 2016

CMS Energy Corporation (CMS) met our $45.00 per share upside target today, initially mentioned in our June 3rd Intermediate Term Outlook: Global Asset Prices (access requires subscription), to capture a $2.18 per share, 5% gain in just over 3 weeks. … Continue reading …

Upside Target Met In UK Long Gilts

Posted on: Tuesday, June 21st, 2016

The UK Long Gilt, Britain’s equivalent to the US 10-Year Treasury Note which has a long, tight and stable positive statistical correlation to it, met our January 125.50 upside target on June 14th to capture a 4% gain in about 5 months. The also-positively-correlated iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) coincidentally gained $11.81 or 9.4% during the same period while the yield of the benchmark 10-Year Treasury Note declined by 46 basis points to as low as 1.57% on June 16th… Continue reading …

Downside Target Met In US Dollar/Yen (USDJPY)

Posted on: Friday, April 29th, 2016

US Dollar/Yen (USDJPY) met our 107.00 downside target this morning (April 29th), which was first mentioned in our February 8th Keys To This Week report (access requires subscription), to capture a 7% decline in a little less than 3 months. … Continue reading …

Upside Target Met In NASDAQ Composite (COMP)

Posted on: Wednesday, April 13th, 2016

The NASDAQ Composite (COMP) Index met our 4950 upside target late in the session on Wednesday April 13th, which was first mentioned in our February 29th Keys To This Week report, to capture a 392 point, 9% advance in about 6 weeksContinue reading …

(Another) Upside Target Met In Metals & Mining ETF (XME)

Posted on: Wednesday, April 13th, 2016

The SPDR S&P Metals and Mining ETF (XME) met our $22.50 upside target on Wednesday April 13th, first mentioned in our April 11th Keys To This Week report (access requires subscription), to quickly capture an additional 5% riseContinue reading …

Upside Target Met In S&P 500 (SPX)

Posted on: Friday, April 1st, 2016

The benchmark S&P 500 (SPX) met our 2075 upside target late in the session on Friday April 1st , which was first mentioned in our February 29th Keys To This Week report, to capture a 143 point, 7% advance in slightly over 1 month Continue reading

Upside Target Met In PHLX Semiconductor (SOX) Index

Posted on: Friday, March 18th, 2016

The  PHLX Semiconductor (SOX) Index met our 670 upside target this morning (March 18th), which was first mentioned in our March 7th Keys To This Week report, to capture a 24.38 point, 4% advance in 11 days as shown in … Continue reading …

Upside Target Met In Dow Industrials (DJIA)

Posted on: Friday, March 18th, 2016

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) met our 17,500 upside target late in the session on Thursday March 17th , which was first mentioned in our February 29th Keys To This Week report, to capture a 984 point, 5% advance in about 3 weeksContinue reading …

Upside Target Met In Metals & Mining ETF (XME)

Posted on: Friday, March 4th, 2016

The SPDR S&P Metals and Mining ETF (XME) met our $19.50 upside target today (March 4th), which was first mentioned in our February 29th Keys To This Week report, to capture a 22% advance in 4 days. Here is the … Continue reading …

Downside Target Met In London FTSE 100

Posted on: Wednesday, January 20th, 2016

The London FTSE 100 Index met our 5700 downside target today (January 20th), which was first mentioned in our January 7th report entitled Europe Warns Of More US Market Weakness (access requires subscription), to capture a 3% profit in about 2 weeksContinue reading

Downside Target Met In Berkshire Hathaway (BRKA)

Posted on: Tuesday, January 19th, 2016

Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hatchway (BRKA) met our $190,000 downside target last week (January 13th), which was first mentioned in our December 9th report entitled Today’s Reversal Warns Of More Near Term Market Weakness (access requires subscription), to capture a 4% decline in about 5 weeksContinue reading …

Downside Target Met In Retail Sector ETF (XRT)

Posted on: Friday, January 15th, 2016

The SPDR S&P 500 Retail Sector ETF (XRT) met our $40.00 initial downside target today, which was first mentioned in our November 16th Keys To This Week report, to capture a 3.02 point, 7% profit in 2 months  … Continue reading …


You may have noticed that many of our targets are met quickly, sometimes in just a month or two — and sometimes even sooner than that. This has a lot more to do with our methodology than it does our investment time horizon because we are not short-term traders.  In fact, our strategic time horizon is actually one to two quarters (3 to 6 months).

Our methodology is to pick assets that are in the midst of a resting period (consolidation) following a sustained price trend.  We are seeking an early entry into the resumption of that trend.  So, when that particular stock or ETF is fundamentally sound and still in demand by investors, the appreciation in value, once the trend resumes, often comes very quickly as investors charge in to try to capture the next leg higher in a previously rising stock.

In addition, we only select stocks that, according to our own process, suggest at least a 1:2 risk-to-reward ratio — that is, risking $1 to make at least $2.  This additional screen means that even if only half of our picks reach their targets, we are still turning a profit.  And, although all investors should know that past performance does not guarantee future results and that trading financial assets is a risky endeavor, over time our methodology has produced significantly better than a 50/50 success rate.

Asbury Research subscribers can view our current research on the US stock market, market sectors, US interest rates, ETFs and commodities by logging into the Research Center via the big gold button in the upper right corner of the screen.

Non-subscribers can request more information about us, including service and pricing options, by visiting our Contact Us page or by calling 888-960-0005.

 

This data is provided for information purposes only. Past performance may not necessarily indicate future results and may not be typical of future performance. No inferences may be made and no guarantees of profitability are being stated by Asbury Research LLC.  Moreover, this information is intended to be for information purposes and should not be construed as a solicitation to buy or sell financial assets.  The risk of loss trading in financial assets can be substantial. Therefore, you should therefore carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition.