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Here we periodically publish a chart and a brief excerpt from one of our 8 research reports for the purpose of familiarizing potential subscribers/clients to our investment research, and to stay on the radar screen of those who have already expressed an interest in us.

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If interested in an immediate subscription please email sales@asburyresearch.com or call 1-888-960-0005


TLT Meets Our $137.00 Target

The iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) traded as high as $137.41 today to meet our $137.00  upside target,  first mentioned in our January 7th report entitled US 10-Year Note: Next Stop 1.88%? (access requires subscription), to capture a $5.61, 4.3% gain in 3 weeks.

The yield of the benchmark US 10-Year Treasury Note has coincidentally declined by 24 bps to 1.72% during the same 3-week period.

TLT daily since November 2014
TLT daily since November 2014

NEW!  Asbury Research’s bigger picture Intermediate Term (1-2 quarter) Outlook for global asset prices including US equities, US market sectors, global equities, US interest rates, commodity prices, and the US Dollar is available by logging into the Research Center.


John Kosar’s January 22 Interview: Financial Sense

Click the link below to listen to John’s Kosar’s Thursday January 22nd 2015 interview with James Puplava of the popular Financial Sense website, where John and Jim discuss Asbury Research‘s outlook for:

  • the 2015 direction of the US stock market,
  • the 2015 direction of US interest rates,
  • the US stock market sectors poised for relative outperformance during 2015, and
  • the prospects for under-loved gold prices during H1 2015.

Click Here To Listen To The Interview

 

Thanks to Jim Puplava and his staff for the invitation and another opportunity
to speak to his large and loyal following of professional and individual investors.

 


German DAX Meets Our 10,600 Target

The German DAX traded as high as 10,704 today to meet our 10,600 upside target first mentioned in our January 12th Keys To This Week (access requires subscription) and again in our January 13th report entitled What’s Driving US Stocks Today, to capture an 818 point, 8.4% rise in the index in less than 2 weeks.

German DAX daily since October 2014

German DAX daily since October 2014


Webcast: Q1-Q2 2015 Market Outlook

Yesterday John Kosar, our Director of Research, presented a webinar for the Market Technicians Association (MTA) entitled “US Financial Update for January 2015“, which is a part of the MTA’s Educational Web Series from which members can earn 2 Continuing Education (CE) credits .

You can view the webinar by Clicking Here.

 

For the webinar, John used our most recent monthly US Financial Market Chart Book, which is one of 8 different reports that we produce for Asbury Research subscribers.

You can request a PDF of the presentation by emailing us at sales@asburyresearch.com with “Webinar PDF” in the subject line.

John has been an MTA member for the past 25 years, during which time he served as Vice President and board member. The MTA is an invaluable resource for investors, professional and otherwise, to get practical, real-world information and tools that can protect your portfolio from adverse price moves — moves that often cannot be seen or anticipated by standard fundamental or economic analysis.

This is in no way meant to be a knock on these more traditional and necessary disciplines, but rather to point out an opportunity for savvy investors to “see the other side of the elephant” via tools like investor asset flows, investor sentiment, and global intermarket relationships, to name a few — tools that often give the earliest warnings of trouble ahead.

Accordingly, most Asbury Research clients are not “chart traders”, but rather professional money managers — many who are already experts in global economics and fundamental analysis and who are looking for “an edge” to work into their investment process. A quantitative/technical approach like the one Asbury Research employs can do just that.

Hope the webinar is interesting and informative. Thanks to the MTA for making it available on their site. If you like our approach and would like more information, please contact us at sales@asburyresearch.com or 1-888-960-0005.


US 10-Year Yield Meets Our 1.88% Target

The yield of the US 10-Year Treasury Note is trading at 1.82% this morning, meeting our 1.88% downside target first mentioned in our January 7th report entitled US 10-Year Note: Next Stop 1.88%? (access requires subscription) to capture an 8 bps decline over the past 7 days.

The iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) has coincidentally risen by $2.38 or 2% during the same 1 week period.

Today’s sharp decline in yield clears the way for a potential test of the next key level level at 1.66%, which is displayed and discussed in more detail in our January 7th report.


Why US Stocks Spiked Higher Today

The following is a brief excerpt from Monday’s (January 12th) Keys To this Week report, one of 8 different reports that we produce for clients at various intervals throughout the month.

While the financial media and many analysts seem to be focused — if not obsessed — on oil prices’ effect on US equity prices, we have been more keenly focused on European equity prices as global investors contemplate the introduction of quantitative easing by the European Central Bank (ECB).

Key #4 of 10 “keys” to US stock market direction listed in Monday’s report highlighted a potentially bullish breakout emerging in the German DAX Index, which we viewed as a potential leading indication of upcoming US market direction following 5 weeks of sideways trade.

The DAX broke out higher overnight in Europe and, as expected, the S&P 500 has subsequently risen by as much as 29 points thus far today.


Research Report: Keys To This Week
Date: January 12th, 2015
Topic: The US Stock Market

Key # 4 of 10> Intermarket Relationships: German DAX Index. TURNING NEAR TERM BULLISH? The blue highlights in Chart 3 below show that the DAX begins this week in the midst of a 5-week period of sideways investor indecision follow a strong advance from the mid October lows. Most of the time these patterns resolve themselves by resuming the bullish trend that preceded them which, in this case, would be confirmed by a sustained rise above the upper boundary at 9843 — which would then target an additional 8% rise.  Considering the tight and stable long term positive correlation between the DAX and S&P 500, we will view the resolution of this pattern as an indirect indication of upcoming US market direction.

Chart 3 of 12

Chart 3 of 12

continued>>


This morning’s report is a good example of the kind of forward looking investment research that we have been providing Asbury Research subscribers with for the past 10 years.

Asbury Research subscribers can view Monday’s report in its entirety by logging into our Research Center.

Interested professional investors can request a 30-day research trial by contacting us via phone at 1-888-960-0005 or via email at sales@asburyresearch.com.

Here are 8 Reasons To Make Us Your Investment Research Provider In 2015.


Be Wary Of This Morning’s Rally

The following is a brief excerpt and one of three charts from this morning’s report, entitled Be Wary Of This Morning’s Rally (access requires subscription), which was emailed to Asbury Research subscribers right after the US stock market opening this morning. 

The bellwether subsequently S&P 500 peaked at 2072 at 9:45 ET this morning before collapsing by 23 points or 1.1% into this morning’s lows at 2049.


Research Report: What We’re Watching Today
Date: January 2nd, 2015
Asset Class: The US Stock Market
Title: Be Wary Of This Morning’s Rally

Despite this morning’s strong US stock market opening, recently contracting investor assets in both the S&P 500 and NASDAQ 100 combined with looming seasonal weakness in the S&P 500 warn that this strength may be unsustainable. Managers may consider protecting open profits / tightening protective strategies unless these ETF flows begin to significantly expand.

Chart 3 below shows that the first week of January is the seasonally strongest of the  entire 1st Quarter in the S&P 500, and then collapses into the second and third weeks of the month (the weeks of January 12th and 19th this year) which are the 4th and 2nd weakest of the quarter.  This seasonal weakness then extends further, into the final week of February which is the seasonally weakest of the quarter.

Chart 3 of 3

Chart 3 of 3

continued>>>


This morning’s report is a good example of the kind of forward looking investment research that we have been providing Asbury Research subscribers with for the past 10 years.

Click Here to see what our subscribers are saying about us.

Start 2015 off with your first winning investment:

Contact us via email at sales@asburyresearch.com or by phone at 1-888-960-0005 to get further information about us including pricing and services, and to request trial access.


Happy Holidays from Asbury Research:
Timing Is Everything

On March 6th 2009, a professor of economics at Stanford University and a senior fellow at the Hoover Institution penned an OpEd in the Wall Street Journal entitled “Obama’s Radicalism Is Killing the Dow”. Hoover is well-known for its prominent influence over national Republican policy, and the author chaired the Council of Economic Advisers under President George H.W. Bush.

DJIA 2005-2014: Timing Is Everything

DJIA 2005-2014: Timing Is Everything

The chart shows that the Dow closed at, and bottomed, at 6627 on March 6th 2009 — the day the OpEd was published — and has subsequently risen by 11,476 points or 173% into today’s highs.

A hearty Ho, Ho, Ho and best wishes for a happy holiday season from your quantitative/technically oriented friends at Asbury Research.


XLU Meets Our 47.00 Target

The Utilities Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLU) met our $47.00 upside target yesterday, December 18th, first mentioned in our October 23rd report entitled Utilities Sector Showing Upside Potential, to capture a $2.90, 7% advance in a little less than 2 months.

From that report:

This week’s breakout from 4 months of sideways price congestion in the Utilities Sector SPDR ETF (XLU) indicates that the emerging sector strength that our trend model has been recently forecasting is actually materializing in the marketplace now, and targets an additional 7% rise to 47.00.

Login to our Research Center for our latest research and strategy pertaining to US market sectors.


US 10-Year Meets Our May 2014 “2-10% to 2.05%” Target

Back on May 16th of this year with the yield of the US 10-Year Treasury Note at 2.51%, John Kosar appeared on CNBC’s Closing Bell to say that he was looking for a deeper decline to 2.40% by the 3rd Quarter after which — if 2.40% was broken — would clear the way for an eventual move down to the 2.10% to 2.05% area.

The 10-Year subsequently declined to 2.40% by August 15th, and met our 2.10% – 2.05% yesterday, December 16th, via a 2.07% closing yield.

You can view John’s May 16th CNBC appearance by Clicking Here.

Asbury Research subscribers can view our November 26th report, entitled US Interest Rates Outlook For December & Q1 2015, by logging into our Research Center.

Interested professional investors are welcome to contact us via email at sales@asburyresearch.com or by phone at 1-888-960-0005 to get further information about us including pricing and services, and to request trial access.

Click Here to view our recently updated performance data.


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