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Upside Target Met In Utilities Sector SPDR (XLU)

The Utilities Sector SPDR ETF (XLU) met our $52.50 upside target today, first mentioned in our June 6th Keys To This Week report (access requires subscription), to capture a $2.49 per share, 5% gain in just over 3 weeks.

Here is the chart from our June 6th report.

Chart 7 of 7, June 6th 2016

Chart 5 of 5, June 6th 2016

Here is the updated chart through the close today.

XLU through June 30th 2016.

XLU through June 30th 2016.

Asbury Research subscribers can view our current research on the US stock market and market sectors, US interest rates, the US Dollar, and commodities by logging into the Research Center via the big gold button in the upper right corner of the screen.

Interested investors can request more information about us, including sample research, services and pricing, by visiting our Contact Us page or by calling 888-960-0005.

 


Upside Target Met In CMS Energy Corporation (CMS)

CMS Energy Corporation (CMS) met our $45.00 per share upside target today, initially mentioned in our June 3rd Intermediate Term Outlook: Global Asset Prices (access requires subscription), to capture a $2.18 per share, 5.1% gain in just over 3 weeks.

CMS daily since January 2016

CMS daily since January 2016

Asbury Research subscribers can view our current research on the US stock market and market sectors, US interest rates, the US Dollar, and commodities by logging into the Research Center via the big gold button in the upper right corner of the screen.

Interested investors can request more information about us, including sample research, services and pricing, by visiting our Contact Us page or by calling 888-960-0005.

 


Video Preview: Keys To This Week
for the US Stock Market, June 27th 2016

Click the video icon below for a 2 minute video overview of this week’s Keys To this Week report for the US stock market.  Asbury Research subscribers also receive separate Keys To This Week reports for US market sectors, US interest rates, alternative investments/commodities/ETFs and the US Dollar.

Keys To This Week displays and discusses 10 key market factors that are most likely to influence the direction of the US stock market over the next several weeks to several months.

The report also includes the current signal of our Correction Protection Model, which protects investors against market declines and greatly reduces volatility of returns without sacrificing long term performance.



Asbury Research subscribers can view the entire report by logging into our Research Center.

Interested investors can request more information about us, including services, pricing and a sample copy, by completing our Contact Us page or by calling 888-960-0005.


8 Reasons To Make Us Your Investment Research Provider

Asbury Research provides a top down macro analysis of the US financial landscape to a diverse group of financial professionals including Long Only Portfolio Managers, Hedge Funds, Financial Advisors, Registered Investment Advisors, Commodity Funds, Family Offices, Economists, Market Strategists and Corporate Investment Committees, based on a broad array of technical, quantitative and behavioral inputs.

We have also recently added services for Individual Investors.  Contact us for details.

Our focus is on the US markets, but our scope is global as we utilize our own database of intermarket relationships to determine where asset prices may be  headed domestically based on correlated markets overseas.  Our approach provides us with more inputs, which helps us to be more consistently correct on market direction.

  1. Independence:

    Asbury Research has no affiliations with broker-dealers, banks, or other financial institutions. Our sole objective, and how we get paid, is to provide our subscribers with investment ideas that either make money or avoid losing money.

  2. Experience:

    John Kosar, Director of Research began his career in the Chicago futures pits in the 1980s, which turned out to be an incubator for his integrated intermarket approach and “under the hood” understanding of how financial markets work.

  3. Clear, Actionable Investment Ideas:

    Asbury Research gives conclusions. We are strategic 1-2 quarters out and tactical within 30 days. This means that we provide our subscribers with actionable intra-month buy and sell ideas that attempt to capture 70% or more of an intermediate term price trend.

  4. Comprehensive Macro Scope:

    We are not bottom-up stock pickers, but rather utilize an integrated top-down macro approach that produces integrated, cross-checked strategies for the US stock market, US market sectors, US interest rates, the US Dollar, and alternative investments like commodities and REITs.  We utilize ETFs to provide specific, actionable investment ideas in all of these assets.

  5. Quantitative / Technical Process:

    Our investment strategies are based on objective, repeatable metrics including investor asset flows, statistical relationships between various domestic and global financial asset prices, and price patterns that have consistently repeated themselves throughout history – rather than vague, anecdotal opinions on the latest economic data, news byte or geopolitical conflict.

  6. Unique Metrics:

    Asbury Research’s stock market sector research is based on our own in-house metrics that: 1) first define historically over-invested and under-invested US market sectors based on ETF asset flows, 2) then look for asset flows to support a move back towards historical norms of investment and, finally, 3) overlay price momentum-based metrics to confirm that the expected price move in the sector is actually underway.

  7. Performance:

    Our Correction Protection Model (CPM) for the US stock market has captured 1,145 basis points in the S&P 500 from 2007 through Q1 2017 (+81%), nearly doubling the S&P 500’s 641 basis point rise (+45%) during the same period by simply avoiding downturns.  Moreover, CPM has produced this performance with half the volatility of returns, and without using any leverage, short positions, or derivatives. Our model is binary — it is either in the market or out of it — and outperforms by simply being invested when stock prices are going up and not being invested when they are going down.

  8. Our Clients Love Us:

    One of many client testimonials:

    “Excellent presentation today.  It reminded me why I elected to join your service about a year ago: you do a great job of distilling a tremendous amount  of technical information into understandable, actionable insights.  Coming from a technical background myself, I appreciate how very difficult that is to do.  Again, job well done.  Lastly, thanks again for your call late November/early December (2015) recommending that I “play defense.”  Truthfully, your personal attention caught me off guard- I’ve not been used to such service. Although not fully invested at that time, I was in “too much.”  I took your advice to heart and unwound more positions- some that were not that old.   But in hindsight, you gave clear warning.  I now believe that my growing trust in and understanding of your messages will help me better stay stay on the right side of intermediate and long term trends.  Thanks for all your efforts.”

    C. Harris, Independent Investor, Florida

Contact us via email at sales@asburyresearch.com, by phone at 1-888-960-0005, or use our website to:

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  • request some current sample reports.

Upside Target Met In UK Long Gilts

The UK Long Gilt, Britain’s equivalent to the US 10-Year Treasury Note which has a long, tight and stable positive statistical correlation to it, met our January 125.50 upside target on June 14th to capture a 4.1% gain in about 5 months.  This target was most recently mentioned in our May 9th Keys To This Week report (access requires subscription).

UK Long Gilt daily since May 2014

UK Long Gilt daily since May 2014

The also-positively-correlated iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) coincidentally gained $11.81 or 9.4% during the same period while the yield of the benchmark 10-Year Treasury Note declined by 46 basis points to as low as 1.57% on June 16th.

Asbury Research subscribers can view our current research on the US stock market and market sectors, US interest rates, the US Dollar, and commodities by logging into the Research Center via the big gold button in the upper right corner of the screen.

Interested investors can request more information about us, including sample research, services and pricing, by visiting our Contact Us page or by calling 888-960-0005.

 


John Kosar’s June 9th 2016 Interview: Financial Sense

Click the link below to listen to John’s Kosar’s Thursday June 9th interview with Jim Puplava of the popular Financial Sense website.

John Kosar: Early Signs of Global Growth – Fears of Deflation Lessening

[jwplayer mediaid=”37712″]

 

Jim welcomes back John Kosar CMT, Chief Investment Strategist at Asbury Research LLC.  In the S&P 500 Index, John sees it as up against resistance and is looking for a pullback before it advances through resistance levels. On a global basis, John points out strength this year in base metals, energy, and agriculture, and believes this is indicating early signs of global growth and the lessening of global deflation fears.  As to gold, John sees this as the early phase of a major bull market, but the positioning of smart money traders are telling him gold is currently overvalued, and it’s not the time to jump in. In oil, the charts show positive momentum, and John believes oil moves higher from here.

John believes we are vulnerable to a pullback near term, as momentum is stretched and the market is up against overhead resistance. John is more, positive longer term, but advises adding tighter stops and not adding to positions at these levels. John also covers the oil, gold and fixed income markets as well.

Asbury Research subscribers can view our current research on the US stock market and market sectors, US interest rates, the US Dollar, and commodities by logging into the Research Center via the big gold button in the upper right corner of the screen.

Interested investors can request more information about us, including sample research, services and pricing, by visiting our Contact Us page or by calling 888-960-0005.

Thanks to Jim Puplava and his staff for the invitation and another opportunity to speak to his large and loyal following of professional and individual investors.


Agriculture ETF (DBA) Meets Our Initial Upside Target

In the May 16th Keys To This Week (access requires subscription) we first pointed out that the PowerShares DB Agriculture Fund (DBA) appeared to be resuming its February advance.  A week later, in our May 23rd report, we said that, despite a failed chart pattern in DBA, the recent sustained move above its 200-day moving average continued to suggest that a major bullish trend change was emerging.

On Tuesday June 7th we pointed out that that the next formidable overhead resistance level was an additional 2% higher at $22.85 and said:

“we would consider taking profits on a test of $22.85 as this major benchmark low appears unlikely to be broken on the first try, especially considering the ETF’s near-vertical rise from its May 23rd low.”

The chart below shows that DBA has been testing $22.85 resistance yesterday and today, which equates to an 8% gain since we first identified this asset as a buying opportunity on May 16th.

Powershares DB Agriculture Fund (DBA) daily since Q4 2015

Powershares DB Agriculture Fund (DBA) daily since Q4 2015

Asbury Research subscribers can view our current research on the US stock market and market sectors, US interest rates,the US Dollar, and commodity-related assets like DBA shown above by logging into the Research Center via the big gold button in the upper right corner of the screen.

Interested investors can request more information about us, including sample research, services and pricing, by visiting our Contact Us page or by calling 888-960-0005.

 


Video Preview: Keys To This Week
for the US Stock Market

The following is a 3 minute video overview of this week’s Keys To this Week report for the US stock market.  Asbury Research subscribers also receive separate Keys To This Week reports for US market sectors, US interest rates, alternative investments/commodities/ETFs and the US Dollar.

Keys To This Week displays and discusses 10 key market factors that are most likely to influence the direction of the US stock market over the next several weeks to several months.

The report also includes the current signal of our Correction Protection Model, which protects investors against market declines and greatly reduces volatility of returns without sacrificing long term performance.



Asbury Research subscribers can view the entire report by logging into our Research Center.

Interested investors can request more information about us, including services, pricing and a sample copy, by completing our Contact Us page or by calling 888-960-0005.


Watch Semiconductors For Leadership This Summer

The following is a brief excerpt from this morning’s Keys To this Week report for the US stock market.  Asbury Research subscribers also receive separate Keys To This Week reports for US market sectors, US interest rates, alternative investments/commodities/ETFs and the US Dollar.

Keys To This Week displays and discusses 10 key market factors that are most likely to influence the direction of the US stock market over the next several weeks to several months.

The report also includes the current signal of our Correction Protection Model, which protects investors against market declines and greatly reduces volatility of returns without sacrificing long term performance.

Key #5 of 10 of this week’s report, with the accompanying chart, appears below.


Keys To This Week: The US Stock Market
Tuesday May 31st 2016: Key #5 of 10
Support/Resistance: PHLX Semiconductor (SOX) Index
MAJOR DECISION POINT, TURNING NEAR TO INTERMEDIATE TERM BULLISH

Chart 5 below shows that the SOX edged above major overhead resistance at 682 to 693 last week, which suggests that an intermediate term bullish breakout is emerging in this market leading index.  A sustained rise above 693 would be seen as a coincident or leading indication of a similar positive move in the US broad market.

Chart 5 of 8

Chart 5 of 8

continued in today’s report…


Asbury Research subscribers can view the entire report by logging into our Research Center.

Interested investors can request more information about us, including services, pricing and a sample copy, by completing our Contact Us page or by calling 888-960-0005.


Tech-Related Asset Flows Key To June Market Direction

The following is a brief excerpt from this morning’s Keys To this Week report for the US stock market.  Asbury Research subscribers also receive separate Keys To This Week reports for US market sectors, US interest rates, alternative investments/commodities/ETFs and the US Dollar.

Keys To This Week displays and discusses 10 key market factors that are most likely to influence the direction of the US stock market over the next several weeks to several months.

The report also includes the current signal of our Correction Protection Model, which protects investors against market declines and greatly reduces volatility of returns without sacrificing long term performance.

Key #2 of 10 of this week’s report, with the accompanying chart, appears below.


Keys To This Week: The US Stock Market
Monday May 23rd 2016: Key #2 of 10
Asset Flows: PowerShares QQQ ETF.
NEAR TERM BEARISH, MAJOR DECISION POINT.

Chart 2 below shows that the total net assets invested in QQQ declined below their the 21-day moving average on April 21st, indicating a trend of monthly contraction that is characteristic of US broad market declines.

Chart 2 of 6

Chart 2 of 6

However, the chart also shows that these assets are starting to stabilize from $35.3 to $32.8 billion, a level that has coincided with significant bottoms in the NASDAQ 100 (NDX) on February 10th and in August 2015 and October 2014.  A sustained rise above the 21-day moving average, from this key level, would suggest that another similarly-important bottom is in place.

continued in today’s report…


Asbury Research subscribers can view the entire report by logging into our Research Center.

Interested investors can request more information about us, including services, pricing and a sample copy, by completing our Contact Us page or by calling 888-960-0005.


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