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Here we periodically publish a chart and a brief excerpt from one of our premium research reports, a link or a video from one of our appearances in the financial media, or a notification that one of our price targets has been met, for the purpose of familiarizing potential subscriber with our investment research and to stay on the radar of those who have expressed an interest in us.

Anyone can sign up to receive our research excerpts, free of charge, by completing the Subscribe To Our Blog box at right.

Professional investors can request a free trial of our premium research by clicking here and typing TRIAL REQUEST in the “Reason For Inquiry” box.

If interested in an immediate subscription please email sales@asburyresearch.com or call 1-888-960-0005

New Asbury Investment Management (AIM) Videos

 

Back in late February we announced the launching of Asbury Investment Management (AIM).

 

Since then we have posted two videos:

  • The first one explains our investment process of taking Asbury Research ideas and professionally managing them for client accounts.
    Click Here To View It.
  • The second one displays and discusses how we actually managed those Asbury Research ideas for client accounts during 1st Quarter 2018.
    Click Here To View It.

We will be updating the second, performance-related video every month. 

Click Here to get on our contact list, which will include you in our periodic emails to announce a new video, to update our performance, or to advise of other Asbury Investment Management-related news.

You can also call 1-844-4 ASBURY (1-844-427-2879) for further information.


US Stocks: Buy Now Or Play Defense?

The chart and text below is an excerpt from our April 2018 Global Seasonal Analysis report, a monthly report that displays and analyzes annual, quarterly and monthly seasonal trends for 17 global asset prices including equities, benchmark interest rates, foreign exchange, and key commodity prices based on historical data going back to the 1950s.

Historical seasonality is just one of dozens of metrics that we use to forecast financial market direction.


S&P 500 Quarterly Seasonal Pattern For Q2 Since 1957

The next chart breaks the seasonal pattern in the S&P 500 down further, into a quarterly time frame via 13 weekly increments, and highlights the month of April in green. 

Chart 5 of 23

The chart shows that the third week of April, which is the week of April 16th this year,  is the seasonally strongest of the entire 1st Quarter.  The chart also shows that the final two weeks of June, the weeks of June 18th and 25th, are the two seasonally weakest of the 2nd Quarter.

continued here for subscribers >>>


Asbury Research subscribers can view our latest research on the US stock market, market sectors, US interest rates, ETFs and commodities, as well as a table with our current picks in US stocks, ETFs, and global indexes, by logging into the Research Center via the big gold button in the upper right corner of the screen.

Subscribers and interested investors can view our most recent closed out trade ideas by Clicking Here.

To non-subscribers:  Request more information about us, including service and pricing options, by visiting our Contact Us page or by calling 888-960-0005.


The US Stock Market: 5 Keys To April Direction

The report below, The Weekly Wrap-Up from Thursday, March 29th, is one of a number of premium reports we provide for our subscribers.  It is a good example of how we help investors navigate the markets. and manage their investments, during pivotal — and potentially dangerous — periods in the market.

Keys To This Week / Weekly Wrap Up

The Weekly Wrap-Up: March 29th, 2018

Posted on: Thursday, March 29th, 2018

Correction Protection Model (CPM)Neutral as of March 22nd (from Positive on February 26th)

Our quantitative model for the US stock market, which uses the S&P 500 (SPX) as a proxy, shifted to Neutral (“risk off”) as of the open on March 22nd from Positive (“risk on”) on February 26th.

Click Here for Asbury’s current stock and ETF ideas.

Conclusion, Investment Implications, Strategy

Despite today’s impressive rally going into a long holiday weekend, virtually all of our key secondary indicators that measure the stock market’s internal strength are still negative.  It would take a sustained rise next week above S&P 500 (SPX) 2730 to 2770, which is currently 3% to 5% above the market, and/or vastly improved market internals, to confirm that the US stock market is “out of the woods” and has resumed its larger 2016 advance.

From Last Week’s Research

“The market has rallied aggressively so far this morning, which is not surprising as investors rush in to “buy the dip” off of the 200-day MA in both SPX and the Dow Industrials (DJIA).  However, most of our key near term market metrics are negative heading into this week.  As long as ETF asset flows continue to decline, the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) continues to underperform the SPDR Barclays Capital High Yield Bond ETF (JNK), corporate bond spreads continue to widen, and SPX remains below 2678 to 2780 to keep the 1 month rate of change negative per Key 2, we will view this morning’s rally as a minor bounce within an uncompleted decline.”

Keys To This Week
Asbury Research
March 19th, 2018

Weekly Summary / Overview

With less than an hour left in this holiday shortened week, the benchmark S&P 500 (SPX) is up more than 50 points for the session following a week-long test of its 200-day moving average, a widely-watched major trend proxy.  If this rally holds through the close, it will indicate some impressive bullish investor conviction, especially going into a long weekend while geopolitical risks abound.  However, despite today’s rally, virtually all of our near term secondary indicators — which measure the internal strength of the market — are still negative and would need to also strengthen next week to confirm the sustainability of today’s advance.

Know Your Levels Next Week

Chart 1 below plots the benchmark S&P 500 daily since August 2017 and highlights the key price levels both above and below the market.  First and foremost, the chart shows that SPX has been testing its (orange) 200-day moving average, a widely-watched major trend proxy currently situated at 2589,  since March 23rd,  This is major decision point for the US broad market from which its next significant directional move, either higher or lower, is likely to begin.

Chart 1

Should the 200-day MA hold as support, minor overhead resistance exists 4% above it at 2691, which represents the March 13th low. Above that, major overhead resistance exists 5% to 7% above the 200-day MA at 2730 to 2770, which represents the 50-day moving average (blue, minor trend proxy) and January 26th downtrend line (red).  A sustained rise above 2770 would be necessary to confirm that the larger bullish trend has resumed and would target an additional 10% rise to 2050.

Should support at the 200-day moving average be broken, however, it would suggest that a deeper decline is coming.  The next two underlying support levels exist 2% below the 200-day MA at 2544 to 2533, and 4% below it at 2491 to 2488 (green).

Near Term Market Momentum Remains Negative

The red highlights in Chart 2 below show that the S&P 500’s 1-month (our tactical time frame) rate-of-change (MROC) turned negative (bearish) on March 19th and will remain so next week below 2678 to 2728, which is 1% to 3% above the market  — and closely corresponds to overhead resistance levels at 2691 and 2730 as shown in Chart 1 above.

Chart 2

According to this metric, a sustained rise above 2728 would be necessary next week to turn near term momentum positive and thus confirm that the larger broad market advance has resumed.

While Charts 1 and 2 above lay out the parameters for a positive and negative resolution to the US broad market’s current decision point at the 200-day MA, Charts 3-5 below indicate how the market looks right now, under the hood, going into the long holiday weekend.

Investor Assets Are Still Contracting

The blue line in the lower panel of Chart 3 below plots the daily total net assets invested in the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) since December.  The red line plots these assets’ 21-day moving average, which we use to identify a monthly trend of expansion or contraction.

Investor asset flows measure day-to-day investor conviction in a price move.

Chart 3

The red highlights show that these assets shifted to a trend of monthly contraction as of March 16th, and that the previous similar trend triggered and fueled the early February to early March weakness in SPX (upper panel).  As long as this trend of monthly contraction remains intact, more near term market weakness is likely.

Corporate Bond Spreads Are Widening

The red highlights in the upper panel of Chart 4 below show that the BofA Merrill Lynch US High Yield Master II Option-Adjusted Spread has been in the midst of a monthly widening trend, as indicated by its position above its 21-day moving average, since February 2nd.

Monthly widening in the spread indicates that the bond market is pricing in a near term increase in credit or repayment risk for these bonds, one that has historically coincided with a weak/declining stock market.

Chart 4

As long as the spread remains in a trend of monthly widening, history suggests the stock market is going to have a tough time making and holding gains from the 200-day MA.  Put another way, it would take a sustained narrowing in the spread next week, below its 21-day moving average at 362 basis points, to indicate these bond market fears have abated enough to support the beginning of a new leg higher in the US stock market.

Market Breadth Is Weakening

The blue bars in the upper panel of Chart 5 below plot the Advance/Decline Line based on NYSE common stocks, which is calculated from the percentage of advancing stocks minus the percentage of declining stocks (rather than using the raw numbers).

The red highlights show the A/D line has been below its 21-day moving average since March 22nd, indicating a trend of monthly weakening, and that the previous two instances of this coincided with declines in the S&P 500 (lower panel) in early November 2017 and in early February.

Chart 5

It would take a sustained rise in the A/D next week, back above its 21-day moving average, to indicate that market breadth is once again strong enough to fuel and sustain a broad market rally.

All Contents © Copyright 2005-2018 Asbury Research LLC. The contents of all material available on this Internet site are copyrighted by Asbury Research LLC. unless otherwise indicated. All rights are reserved by Asbury Research LLC., and content may not be reproduced, downloaded, disseminated, published, or transferred in any form or by any means, except with the prior written permission of Asbury Research LLC., or as indicated below. Members of Asbury Research LLC. may download or print web pages for personal or academic use, consistent with their user agreement. However, no part of such content may be otherwise or subsequently reproduced, downloaded, disseminated, published, or transferred, in any form or by any means, except with the prior written permission of and with express attribution to Asbury Research LLC. Copyright infringement is a violation of federal law subject to criminal and civil penalties.

Asbury Research subscribers can view our latest research on the US stock market, market sectors, US interest rates, ETFs and commodities, as well as a table with our current picks in US stocks, ETFs, and global indexes, by logging into the Research Center via the big gold button in the upper right corner of the screen.

Subscribers and interested investors can view our most recent closed out trade ideas by Clicking Here.

To non-subscribers:  Request more information about us, including service and pricing options, by visiting our Contact Us page or by calling 888-960-0005.


What To Buy vs. When To Buy: A Case Study

Editor’s Note: One component of our research services is to provide specific trading ideas in individual stocks and ETFs. The common belief among many investors is that if you can figure out what to buy, you’ll make money.  In our view, much more important than knowing what to buy is knowing where to buy.

When I was a young man working on the trading floor of the Chicago futures exchanges in the 1980s, I often heard traders saying something like this: “I was right about that market all the way up, and still lost money!”.   Although it took me a long time to figure out what that meant, what these traders were saying is that they were making good picks, but buying them when the risk/reward characteristics were unfavorable.

For example, buying a stock that has already risen by 10% over the past 2 months, as attractive as it may be to do so, is often not a great time to buy.  These stocks are usually vulnerable to a corrective pullback, which means that you can theoretically buy a good stock that immediately moves against you by 5%-6% percent, perhaps forcing you out, before you can reap the benefits of ultimately higher prices.  Or, if you choose to hold on to it, it may take another 2 months for it to get back to the price you bought it, which can present opportunity risk of not buying another stock that is still going up.

With this in mind, we employ a strict criteria of what, and where to buy stocks and ETFs.

  1. The stock/ETF must first pass our initial quantitative and technical screen, which identifies assets with strong trends and good internal strength.
  2. The stock has to be moving back to the previous trend following a period of sideways trading (consolidation).
  3. The initial risk on the idea has to be 5% or less.
  4. The initial risk to reward ratio on the idea has to be 1:3 (risking $1 to make $3) or better.

With this methodology, we address both what to buy and when to buy it.

A good recent case study of this is Edwards Life Sciences (EW), which we displayed and discussed in our January 22nd Asbury Alert report entitled Edwards Lifesciences Corporation (EW) Resuming 2014 Advance (access requires subscription).  EW provides products and technologies to treat structural heart disease.

The chart below shows that, at the time of our January 22nd report, EW was rising above its September 2016 major downtrend line following about 17 months of sideways investor indecision.  This emerging breakout indicated the stock’s larger 2014 advance was resuming and targeted an eventual, additional 30% rise to 161.00 with only 5% of initial risk, giving us the initial leverage we needed to present the idea to subscribers.

EW Weekly: 2015 to January 19th

The next chart, a newly updated version, shows that EW has since risen by 14%, to $141.34 per share, but still has an additional 15% to go before meeting our $161.00 target.

EW Weekly: 2015 to March 20th

The point here is not that this idea has worked out well, but rather that the risk to reward ratio was a very attractive 1:6 (risking $1 to make $6) when we initiated it.  This kind of favorable ratio gives us the ability to go into a tough period (which every trader goes through) where we may only be correct on half our ides, and still be profitable.

Finally, we incrementally move our protective stop up as the stock rises, to lock in open trade gains as we go.

 

Asbury Research subscribers can view our latest research on the US stock market, market sectors, US interest rates, ETFs and commodities, as well as a table with our current picks in US stocks, ETFs, and global indexes, by logging into the Research Center via the big gold button in the upper right corner of the screen.

More strategy and performance-related information about our individual stock and ETFs ideas, and also our Correction Protection Model (CPM), can be viewed by clicking the highlighted links in this sentence.

To non-subscribers:  Request more information about us, including service and pricing options, by visiting our Contact Us page or by calling 888-960-0005.

NEW: In April our new firm, Asbury Research Management (AIM), will begin producing a free monthly video that that includes an overview of the US financial markets, and discusses our investment style and current ideas.  To sign up, Click Here to go the AIM website or call 844- 4 ASBURY (844-427-2879).

 

 


Correction Protection Model (CPM): 2017 Performance Update

The table and chart below below display updated performance data through December 2017 for our Correction Protection Model (CPM).

Purpose & Key Features

  • Protects investors against significant market declines
  • without sacrificing long term performance under a variety of market conditions,
  • all while greatly reducing market risk as measured by volatility of returns.

About CPM

  • CPM is either long (risk on) or neutral (risk off): no short positions, leveraged longs, or hedging via derivatives.
  • CPM is not a returns-driven model.  It was primarily designed to protect investor assets during adverse market conditions while taking advantage of the market’s historical propensity to move higher over time.
  • CPM utilizes 4 quantitative inputs.
  • CPM uses the S&P 500 as a proxy for the market.
  • CPM was designed to 1) be in the market as much as possible, 2) to protect assets during meaningful declines, and 3) to quickly move back to an aggressive stance once internal conditions improve.
  • Since 2007, CPM has averaged 4.6 signals per year or approximately 1.2 per quarter.

Back-Tested Returns (excluding dividends)

Since inception in 2007, the Correction Protection Model (CPM) has had a 13.0% CAGR (Compound Annual Growth Rate) with a volatility (standard deviation on a rolling 90 day basis) of 10.1%.  During the same 11-year period the S&P 500 has had a CAGR of 8.7% with volatility of 19.4%.

This means CPM is producing a significantly better return than SPX with about half the volatility.

Further, Table 1 below shows the Reward/Risk Ratio (CAGR/volatility; a modified Sharpe Ratio) over a rolling 90 day period is 1.32 for CPM versus 0.45 for SPX.  The table also indicates that the average return of CPM on a rolling 90 day basis since 2007 has been 3.31% compared to 2.45% for SPX.

click on table to enlarge

The model’s performance is directly attributable to its ability to limit downside risk as can be seen in CPM’s maximum drawdown of -9.81% on a rolling 90 day basis versus a maximum drawdown of -39.93% for SPX.

CPM Outperforms The S&P 500

Chart 1 below shows that $100 invested in CPM at the beginning of 2007 was worth $260 by the end of 2017.  $100 invested in SPX was worth $189 during the same period.

click on chart to enlarge

Interested investors can learn more about our research services, including the Correction Protection Model,  by completing an information request or by calling 1-888-960-0005.

This data is provided for information purposes only. Past performance or back-tested results may not necessarily indicate future results. The performance indicated from back-testing or historical track record may not be typical of future performance. No inferences may be made and no guarantees of profitability are being stated by Asbury Research LLC. The risk of loss trading in financial assets can be substantial. Therefore, you should therefore carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition.


Introducing Asbury Investment Management

Asbury Investment Management

Professionally Managed Asbury Research Investment Ideas

As most of you know, since 2005 Asbury Research has been focused on providing actionable research and trade ideas to investing professionals. My career actually began long before that, on the trading floor of the Chicago futures exchanges, selling my proprietary trading levels to other floor traders who learned to trust my analysis and market forecasting ability.

From those early days my clients were all professional traders and, after launching Asbury Research in 2005, many hedge funds and investment advisors were added to that growing list. Our regular subscribers know that what we do is squarely aimed at those that trade or manage money for a living, and have the time and knowledge to sculpt our ideas into a functioning portfolio. This is what I am good at, and I have been fortunate to be able to make a living doing what I love.

However, over the past several years I have been getting invited to speak at more and more investor conferences, many of these geared towards individual investors. I have really come to enjoy getting in front of people and talking about the markets and my own analysis and methodologies in particular. And, to my surprise, my work has become extremely popular with the individual investor. It seems that this is an under-served group for good, professional research, and I accidentally stepped right into that void.

In addition, whenever I would finish a speaking engagement, there was always a small group of participants waiting to ask me if I manage money for others. I would answer that I didn’t, and would try to point them in the direction of one of the financial advisors that were Asbury Research subscribers. Around that same time, a mutual acquaintance introduced me to a portfolio manager that is a Chartered Market Technician (CMT) like me, but also a Certified Financial Planner (CFP) and a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA), that runs a successful advisory firm near my offices. We became friends and, over time, started talking about this missing piece of the puzzle for me. That is, how could I help these investors in their 50’s and 60’s, who were attending my webinars and seminars, grow their accounts with Asbury Research investment ideas, but within a structured portfolio that met their individual investment goals and personal risk tolerance.

My new friend, Ken Tomko, started me thinking about how we would construct and manage portfolios for that specific investor — those nearing retirement that want the growth of a stock portfolio, but with very tight risk parameters. We have been collaborating on just such a portfolio for the past 18 months and are very excited about the results. To that end, and with a lot of discussion, planning and preparation behind us, I am proud to introduce Asbury Investment Management LLC.

Using my research as an idea generator, which is what I do for Asbury Research, and Ken’s experience as a portfolio manager, we are combining our skills to find investment opportunities with exceptional risk/reward characteristics, and then managing those ideas within a diversified portfolio of other Asbury Research-driven investment opportunities.

I’m sure I will receive many questions in the coming days, and we have far more information than I could provide here, so please contact me via phone or email, or visit our new website, http://www.asburyinvest.com/.

John Kosar, CMT 
Chief Market Strategist

Asbury Investment Management LLC
Two TransAm Plaza Dr, Suite 200
Suite 200 Oakbrook Terrace IL 60181
Phone: 1 844 4 ASBURY
E-mail: contact@asburyinvest.com

Asbury Research LLC
1901 N Roselle Road, Suite 800
Schaumburg, IL 60195
Phone: 1 888 960-0005
Email: info@asburyresearch.com


Market Must Reengage Uptrend Now Or Face A Deeper Decline

The report below was sent to Asbury Research subscribers mid morning yesterday, February 1st.  We wanted to share it with you today as it s a good example of the comprehensive and timely research that we provide to our subscribers.  The S&P 500 (SPX) held 2808 support yesterday, but broke down below that level today and is now trading 54.00 points lower, closing in on our next support level at 2748.

Conclusion, Investment Implications, Strategy

The benchmark S&P 500 (SPX) is testing minor underlying support at 2808 amid favorable conditions to resume its current uptrend between now and early next week — IF that trend is still healthy and valid.  A sustained decline below 2808 over the next few days, however, would clear the way for a deeper decline to the next key level at 2748 to 2712, which would equate to a 6% decline from the recent highs.

Analysis and Rationale

Te market  is vulnerable to an overdue corrective decline according to a growing list of metrics.  One of these is mean reversion.

The blue line in the lower panel of Chart 1 below plots the daily percentage that the S&P 500 (SPX) is above or below its 200-day moving average, a widely-watched major trend proxy, with a corresponding daily chart of SPX and its 200-day moving average in the upper panel.

Chart 1

The chart shows that this metric reached a high extreme of 14% on January 26th before backing off over the past few days, and that 10% to 13% above the moving average has defined the high extreme in this metric since 2011.  The current high reading warns of the market’s vulnerability to a mean reversion-driven corrective decline, before it moves appreciably higher.

Chart 2 below plots annual seasonality in the S&P 500 based on data since 1957.  It shows that February is the 9th seasonal strongest or 4th weakest month of the year based on these data, but leads into a two-month seasonal recovery in March and April, which are the 4th and 2nd strongest months.

Chart 2

This metric suggests that, if a US broad market correction is coming, it is likely to occur during February.  For perspective, the most recent significant US broad market correction took place between December 31st 2015 and February 12th 2016 when SPX declined by 272 points or 13%.

The blue line in the lower panel of Chart 3 below plots the NYSE 26-week New High/New Low Ratio since 2017.  The green highlights show that this metric is currently rebounding from a low extreme of 17%, indicating recently weakening market breadth, and that previous similar extremes coincided with every near term bottom in SPX during  the past year.

Chart 3

This metric simply indicates that this is where the current market advance should resume, probably by early next week, if it is still healthy and valid.  Conversely, continued weakness over the next several days, despite this indicator extreme, would suggest that the corrective decline that Charts 1 and 2 warn of is beginning.

Chart 4 below plots SPX daily since August 2017 and highlights underlying support levels below the market.  The chart shows that the first support level is at 2808, the January 16th high.  This level is being tested now as the index traded as low as 2813 yesterday (January 31st).  Chart 3 above suggests that, if the current market advance is still healthy, the 2808 area is a likely place for it to resume.

Chart 4

However, we would view a sustained decline below 2808 between now and early next week as evidence that a deeper decline is emerging, which would clear the way for a move to the next support level at 2748 to 2712.  This would equate to a 6% decline from the 2873 January 26th all-time high.


Asbury Research subscribers can view our latest research on the US stock market, market sectors, US interest rates, ETFs and commodities, as well as a table with our current picks in US stocks, ETFs, and global indexes, by logging into the Research Center via the big gold button in the upper right corner of the screen.

Subscribers and interested investors can view our most recent closed out trade ideas by Clicking Here.

To non-subscribers:  Request more information about us, including service and pricing options, by visiting our Contact Us page or by calling 888-960-0005.


Upside Target Met In iShares India Index (INDA)

The chart below shows that the iShares MSCI India Index (INDA) met our $38.00 per share upside target this morning, first displayed and discussed in our December 15th Asbury Alert entitled iShares India Index (INDA) Resuming 2017 Advance (Again) (access requires subscription), to capture a $2.39 per share, 7% price advance in 25 trading days.

INDA also outperformed the S&P 500 (SPX) by 0.8% during the same period.

Editors Note: We were previously long INDA between July 3rd and August 9th 2017, capturing a 5% gain while outperforming the S&P 500 by 3.2%, and again between October 3rd and November 9th, capturing a 6% gain and outperforming the S&P 500 by 3.7%.  This makes our third closed out long position in INDA over the past 6 months, in which we captured a total of an 18% gain.

Here is the chart that appeared in our December 15th  report.

INDA: April 2017 to December 15th

Here is today’s updated version of that chart, showing that our $38.00 has been met.

INDA: April 2017 to January 23rd

 

We publish these notifications for 3 reasons:

  1. to let Asbury Research subscribers know when to consider taking profits on existing positions,
  2. to let non-subscribers track what we are doing in the market, in real time, and
  3. to make everyone aware of a potential upcoming price reversal as price advances often end as upside targets are met and more savvy investors take profits.

 

Asbury Research subscribers can view our latest research on the US stock market, market sectors, US interest rates, ETFs and commodities, as well as a table with our current picks in US stocks, ETFs, and global indexes, by logging into the Research Center via the big gold button in the upper right corner of the screen.

Subscribers and interested investors can view our most recent closed out trade ideas by Clicking Here.

To non-subscribers:  Request more information about us, including service and pricing options, by visiting our Contact Us page or by calling 888-960-0005.


John Kosar’s Latest Interview by Financial Sense: January 12th, 2018

Jim Puplava of the popular Financial Sense website welcomes back John Kosar CMT, Chief Investment Strategist at Asbury Research LLC.

In his latest interview by Financial Sense, which took place on Friday January 12th, John discussed Asbury Research’s 2018 outlook for the US financial landscape, as well as for specific areas of the economy including:

  • the US stock market, market sectors, and industry groups,
  • US interest rates,and
  • key commodities like crude oil and gold.

Click Here to listen to the interview

 

Asbury Research subscribers can view our current research on the US and global financial landscape, and our  current stock and ETF picks, by logging into the Research Center via the big gold button in the upper right corner of the screen.

Interested investors can request more information about us, including sample research, services and pricing, by visiting our Contact Us page or by calling 888-960-0005.

Thanks to Jim Puplava and his staff for the invitation and another opportunity to speak to his large and loyal following of professional and individual investors.


Upside Target Met In United Technologies Corp (UTX)

The chart below shows that United Technologies Corp (UTX) met our $137.25 per share upside target this morning, first displayed and discussed in our December 12th Asbury Alert entitled United Technologies Corporation (UTX) Resuming 2016 Advance (access requires subscription), to capture a $13.69 per share, 11.1% price advance in 23 trading days.

UTX also outperformed the S&P 500 (SPX) by 5.8% during the same period.

Note that price targets being met do not necessarily mean that the directional move is over — only that our initial expectations have been met.  Also note that we are not short term traders.  The  average time period from the introduction of one of our ideas and it meeting its target or being stopped out is more than 2 months.  However, sometimes — like in this case — our targets are met quickly, and when they are we suggest at least taking a partial profit on the position.

Here is the chart that appeared in our December 12th  report.

UTX weekly: January 2016 to December 11th

Here is today’s updated version of that chart, showing that our $137.25 has been met.

UTX weekly: January 2016 to January 16th, 2018

 

 

We publish these notifications for 3 reasons:

  1. to let Asbury Research subscribers know when to consider taking profits on existing positions,
  2. to let non-subscribers track what we are doing in the market, in real time, and
  3. to make everyone aware of a potential upcoming price reversal as price advances often end as upside targets are met and more savvy investors take profits.

 

Asbury Research subscribers can view our latest research on the US stock market, market sectors, US interest rates, ETFs and commodities, as well as a table with our current picks in US stocks, ETFs, and global indexes, by logging into the Research Center via the big gold button in the upper right corner of the screen.

Subscribers and interested investors can view our most recent closed out trade ideas by Clicking Here.

To non-subscribers:  Request more information about us, including service and pricing options, by visiting our Contact Us page or by calling 888-960-0005.


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All Contents © Copyright 2005-2018 Asbury Research LLC. The contents of all material available on this Internet site are copyrighted by Asbury Research LLC. unless otherwise indicated. All rights are reserved by Asbury Research LLC., and content may not be reproduced, downloaded, disseminated, published, or transferred in any form or by any means, except with the prior written permission of Asbury Research LLC., or as indicated below. Members of Asbury Research LLC. may download or print web pages for personal or academic use, consistent with their user agreement. However, no part of such content may be otherwise or subsequently reproduced, downloaded, disseminated, published, or transferred, in any form or by any means, except with the prior written permission of and with express attribution to Asbury Research LLC. Copyright infringement is a violation of federal law subject to criminal and civil penalties.