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Here we periodically publish a chart and a brief excerpt from one of our premium research reports, a link or a video from one of our appearances in the financial media, or a notification that one of our price targets has been met, for the purpose of familiarizing potential subscriber with our investment research and to stay on the radar of those who have expressed an interest in us.

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Upside Target Met In Russell 2000 (RUT)

The Russell 2000 (RUT) effectively met our 1400 upside target today, which was first mentioned in our July 13th 2016 report entitled Another Reason To Be Intermediate Term Bullish, by trading as high as 1395 intraday to capture a 194 point, 16% gain in about 5 months.

Here is the chart from our July 13th report.

Chart 1

RUT daily: April 2015 through July 12th 2016

Here is the updated chart through this morning.

chart

RUT daily: April 2015 through December 12th 2015

Asbury Research subscribers can view our current research on the US stock market, market sectors, US interest rates, and commodities, as well as a table that includes our current picks in individual stocks and ETFs, by logging into the Research Center via the big gold button in the upper right corner of the screen.

To non-subscribers:  Request more information about us, including service and pricing options, by visiting our Contact Us page or by calling 888-960-0005.


Our 2016 Year-To-Date Trading Ideas

In addition to our main role as a top-down financial market strategist with a US focus and a global scope, we have always produced some specific trade ideas in individual assets.  However, we started doing much more of this in 2016 because, with the S&P 500 only gaining 1.4% in 2015, we wanted to add more value for subscribers.

When we put out a new idea it is included in one or more of our various reports and also is entered into a table of all active and recently closed out trading ideas which resides in our Research Center, including stop loss levels.  We send an email notification to subscribers and interested investors whenever one of these targets is met.

With 3 weeks left in 2016, the list below is the result of a simple search of the phrase “target met” in the Research Center of our website.  There are 25 entries listed from newest to oldest.

You can click the linked titles to see the details of each entry.


ar-square_smallSearch Results for: target met

 

Upside Target Met In SPDR S&P Semiconductor ETF (XSD)

Posted on: Friday, December 9th, 2016

The SPDR S&P Semiconductor ETF (XSD) met our $57.50 upside target today, which was first mentioned in our October 24th Keys To This Week report, to capture a $6.31, 12% gain in about 5 weeks.

Upside Target Met In Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLF)

Posted on: Friday, December 9th, 2016

The Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLF) met our $24.00 today (September 30th), first mentioned in our October 31st Keys To This Week report, to capture a $4.26, 22% gain in about 5 weeks.

Upside Target Met In 2 Copper ETFs (COPX, JJC)

Posted on: Thursday, November 10th, 2016

The Global X Copper Miners ETF (COPX), providing investors access to a broad range of copper mining companies which we first mentioned in the November 1st Keys To This Week, met our $21.00 per share target today to capture a  … Continue reading …

Upside Target Met In US 10-Year Treasury Yields

Posted on: Wednesday, November 9th, 2016

The yield of the benchmark 10-Year Treasury Note met our 1.94% to 1.98% initial upside target today, first mentioned in our October 13th report, entitled Long Term US Rates At Major Inflection Point (access requires subscription), to capture a 23 basis point rise in a little less than a month.

Downside Target Met In SPDR Gold Trust (GLD)

Posted on: Tuesday, October 4th, 2016

The SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD, which tracks gold prices) met our $122.75 downside target this morning, initially discussed in the August 23rd Keys To This Week report (access requires subscription), to capture a $5.01, 4% decline in about 6 … Continue reading …

Upside Target Met In Caterpillar, Inc. (CAT)

Posted on: Friday, September 30th, 2016

Construction and mining equipment manufacturer Caterpillar, Inc. (CAT) met our $88.00 target today (September 30th), which equates to an $8.20 per share, 10.3%% gain since we initially discussed it as a long idea in our Intermediate Term Outlook: Global Asset Prices on July 12th. Continue reading …

Upside Target Met In Hong Kong Hang Seng Index (HKHS)

Posted on: Tuesday, August 16th, 2016

The Hong Kong Hang Seng Index (HKHS) met our initial 23,000 upside target today, which was first mentioned in the July 25th Keys To This Week report (access requires subscription), to capture a 1007 point, 5% rise in about 3 … Continue reading …

Upside Target Met In EEM

Posted on: Wednesday, August 10th, 2016

The iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Index Fund (EEM) came within $0.16 of meeting our $37.50 target today, which was first mentioned in the August 1st Keys To This Week report (access requires subscription), to capture a 3% rise in the … Continue reading …

Upside Target Met In Steel ETF (SLX)

Posted on: Monday, August 8th, 2016

The VanEck Vectors Steel ETF (SLX) has traded as high as $32.82 today, essentially meeting our $33.00 target that was first mentioned in our July 12th Keys To This Week report (access requires subscription) to capture a 7% rise in … Continue reading …

Upside Target Met In Cummins, Inc. (CMI)

Posted on: Wednesday, July 27th, 2016

Diesel and natural gas engine designer, manufacturer and distributor Cummins, Inc. (CMI) met our $124.00 target today (July 27th) to capture a $10.30 per share, 9.1% gain in the 3 1/2 months since we initially discussed it as a long … Continue reading …

(Another) Upside Target Met In Metals & Mining ETF (XME)

Posted on: Wednesday, July 27th, 2016

The SPDR S&P Metals and Mining ETF (XME) essentially met our $29.00 upside target today, by trading as high as $28.96 intraday, to capture a  17% advance in 3 weeks.  This idea and target were first displayed and discussed in … Continue reading …

Upside Target Met In Raytheon Co. (RTN)

Posted on: Wednesday, July 6th, 2016

Aerospace and defense company Raytheon Co. (RTN) met our $137.50 upside target today, which was initially mentioned in our May 10th Intermediate Term Outlook and most recently in the June 10th update of that report (access requires subscription), to capture … Continue reading …

Upside Target Met In Utilities Sector SPDR (XLU)

Posted on: Thursday, June 30th, 2016

The Utilities Sector SPDR ETF (XLU) met our $52.50 upside target today, first mentioned in our June 6th Keys To This Week report (access requires subscription), to capture a $2.49 per share, 5% gain in just over 3 weeks.

Upside Target Met In CMS Energy Corporation (CMS)

Posted on: Monday, June 27th, 2016

CMS Energy Corporation (CMS) met our $45.00 per share upside target today, initially mentioned in our June 3rd Intermediate Term Outlook: Global Asset Prices (access requires subscription), to capture a $2.18 per share, 5.1% gain in just over 3 weeks. … Continue reading …

Upside Target Met In UK Long Gilts

Posted on: Tuesday, June 21st, 2016

The UK Long Gilt, Britain’s equivalent to the US 10-Year Treasury Note which has a long, tight and stable positive statistical correlation to it, met our January 125.50 upside target on June 14th to capture a 4.1% gain in about 5 months. The also-positively-correlated iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) coincidentally gained $11.81 or 9.4% during the same period while the yield of the benchmark 10-Year Treasury Note declined by 46 basis points to as low as 1.57% on June 16th.

Downside Target Met In US Dollar/Yen (USDJPY)

Posted on: Friday, April 29th, 2016

US Dollar/Yen (USDJPY) met our 107.00 downside target this morning (April 29th), which was first mentioned in our February 8th Keys To This Week report (access requires subscription), to capture a 7% decline in a little less than 3 months. … Continue reading …

Upside Target Met In NASDAQ Composite (COMP)

Posted on: Wednesday, April 13th, 2016

The NASDAQ Composite (COMP) Index met our 4950 upside target late in the session on Wednesday April 13th, which was first mentioned in our February 29th Keys To This Week report, to capture a 392 point, 9% advance in about … Continue reading …

(Another) Upside Target Met In Metals & Mining ETF (XME)

Posted on: Wednesday, April 13th, 2016

Back on March 4th we pointed out that our $19.50 upside target in the SPDR S&P Metals and Mining ETF (XME), first mentioned in our February 29th Keys To This Week report (access requires subscription), was met to capture a … Continue reading …

Upside Target Met In S&P 500 (SPX)

Posted on: Friday, April 1st, 2016

The benchmark S&P 500 (SPX) met our 2075 upside target late in the session on Friday April 1st , which was first mentioned in our February 29th Keys To This Week report, to capture a 143 point, 7.4% advance in slightly over 1 month.

Upside Target Met In PHLX Semiconductor (SOX) Index

Posted on: Friday, March 18th, 2016

The  PHLX Semiconductor (SOX) Index met our 670 upside target this morning (March 18th), which was first mentioned in our March 7th Keys To This Week report, to capture a 24.38 point, 4% advance in 11 days as shown in … Continue reading …

Upside Target Met In Dow Industrials (DJIA)

Posted on: Friday, March 18th, 2016

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) met our 17,500 upside target late in the session on Thursday March 17th , which was first mentioned in our February 29th Keys To This Week report, to capture a 984 point, 5% advance … Continue reading …

Upside Target Met In Metals & Mining ETF (XME)

Posted on: Friday, March 4th, 2016

The SPDR S&P Metals and Mining ETF (XME) met our $19.50 upside target today (March 4th), which was first mentioned in our February 29th Keys To This Week report, to capture a 22% advance in 4 days. Here is the … Continue reading …

Downside Target Met In London FTSE 100

Posted on: Wednesday, January 20th, 2016

The London FTSE 100 Index met our 5700 downside target today (January 20th), which was first mentioned in our January 7th report entitled Europe Warns Of More US Market Weakness (access requires subscription), to capture a 3% decline in a … Continue reading

Downside Target Met In Berkshire Hathaway (BRKA)

Posted on: Tuesday, January 19th, 2016

Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hatchway (BRKA) met our $190,000 downside target last week (January 13th), which was first mentioned in our December 9th report entitled Today’s Reversal Warns Of More Near Term Market Weakness (access requires subscription) and again in the … Continue reading …

Downside Target Met In Retail Sector ETF (XRT)

Posted on: Friday, January 15th, 2016

The SPDR S&P 500 Retail Sector ETF (XRT) met our $40.00 initial downside target today, which was first mentioned in our November 16th Keys To This Week report, to capture a 3.02 point, 7% decline in 2 months.


Our process is to pick assets that, according to our own internal process, 1) have a strong likelihood of a sustained move in our expected direction while 2) showing exceptional risk/reward characteristics.  However, investing is a risky endeavor and previous results may not be indicative of future performance.  As such, no inferences are being made and no guarantees of profitability are being stated by Asbury Research LLC.

Asbury Research subscribers can view our current research on the US stock market, market sectors, US interest rates, and commodities, as well as a table that includes our current picks in individual stocks and ETFs, by logging into the Research Center via the big gold button in the upper right corner of the screen.

Non-subscribers can request more information about us, including service and pricing options, by visiting our Contact Us page or by calling 888-960-0005.


Upside Target Met In SPDR S&P Semiconductor ETF (XSD)

The SPDR S&P Semiconductor ETF (XSD) met our $57.50 upside target today, which was first mentioned in our October 24th Keys To This Week report, to capture a $6.31, 12% gain in about 5 weeks.

Here is the chart from our October 24th report.

XSD weekly: January 2014 to October 2016

XSD weekly: 2014 to October 2016

Here is the updated chart through this morning.

XLF weekly: 2013 to December 9th

XLF weekly: 2014 to December 9th

Asbury Research subscribers can view our current research on the US stock market, market sectors, US interest rates, and commodities, as well as a new table that includes our current picks in individual stocks and ETFs like XSD shown above, by logging into the Research Center via the big gold button in the upper right corner of the screen.

To non-subscribers:  Request more information about us, including service and pricing options, by visiting our Contact Us page or by calling 888-960-0005.


Upside Target Met In Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLF)

The Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLF) essentially met our $24.00 upside target yesterday (December 8th), which was first mentioned in our October 31st Keys To This Week report, by trading as high as $23.84 intradayto capture a $4.26, 22% gain in about 5 weeks.

Here is the chart from our October 31st report.

jHGA

XLF weekly: 2013 through October 28th 2016

Here is the updated chart through December 8th.

Chart

XLF weekly: 2013 through December 8th 2016

Asbury Research subscribers can view our current research on the US stock market, market sectors, US interest rates, and commodities, as well as a new table that includes our current picks in individual stocks and ETFs like XLF shown above, by logging into the Research Center via the big gold button in the upper right corner of the screen.

To non-subscribers:  Request more information about us, including service and pricing options, by visiting our Contact Us page or by calling 888-960-0005.


December 2016 Webinar: Turning December Opportunities Into 2017 Profits

On Friday December 2nd, 2016, Asbury Research’s Chief Investment Strategist John Kosar, CMT, presented a webinar entitled:

Turning December Opportunities Into 2017 Profits

This 28 minute webinar displayed and discussed Asbury Research’s US stock market outlook through Q2 2017, including:

  • our expectations for an upcoming correction, and how to use it to your advantage,
  • which part of the market we like best (small, mid or large cap stocks),
  • which sector is poised for the most outperformance, and
  • some of our individual long and short ideas.

Click the Play button below to view the video.

Click Here To Download The Accompanying PDF

 

Asbury Research subscribers get a much larger, more comprehensive version of this video in our Monthly Investment Compass by logging into our Research Center.

Interested investors can request more information about our investment research services and pricing via our Contact page or by calling 888-960-0005.


Last Call for December 2nd Webinar: Turning December Opportunities Into 2017 Profits

JJK_022716

On Friday December 2nd, 2016, Asbury Research’s Chief Investment Strategist
John Kosar, CMT, will be presenting a free webinar entitled:

Turning December Opportunities Into 2017 Profits

The webinar will be approximately 30 minutes in length and will discuss Asbury Research’s US stock market outlook through Q2 2017, including:

  • our expectations for an upcoming correction, and how to use it to your advantage,
  • which part of the market we like best (small, mid or large cap stocks),
  • which sector is poised for the most outperformance, and
  • some of our individual long and short ideas.

Date: Friday, December 2nd
Time: 10 am CT (11 am ET, 8 am PT)

 

The number of online”seats” is limited.  If you would like to attend, please RSVP via email by clicking here (info@asburyresearch.com), typing “Asbury Webinar” in the subject line, and including your name and contact information in the body.  We will then respond with a password and instructions for logging in.


December 2nd Webinar: Turning December Opportunities Into 2017 Profits

JJK_022716

On Friday December 2nd, 2016, Asbury Research’s Chief Investment Strategist
John Kosar, CMT, will be presenting a free webinar entitled:

Turning December Opportunities Into 2017 Profits

The webinar will be approximately 30 minutes in length and will discuss Asbury Research’s US stock market outlook through Q2 2017, including:

  • our expectations for an upcoming correction, and how to use it to your advantage,
  • which part of the market we like best (small, mid or large cap stocks),
  • which sector is poised for the most outperformance, and
  • some of our individual long and short ideas.

Date: Friday, December 2nd
Time: 10 am CT (11 am ET, 8 am PT)

 

The number of online”seats” is limited.  If you would like to attend, please RSVP via email by clicking here (info@asburyresearch.com), typing “Asbury Webinar” in the subject line, and including your name and contact information in the body.  We will then respond with a password and instructions for logging in.

 


Video Preview: The Weekly Wrap-Up for the US Stock Market

Click the video play button below for a 4 minute video overview of our Weekly Wrap-Up report.

The Weekly Wrap-Up, produced on Fridays, displays and discusses what we are expecting from US market direction in the upcoming week, and why.

 



Asbury Research subscribers will be receiving the latest Weekly Wrap-Up this afternoon.

Interested investors can request more information about us, including services, pricing and a sample copy of this report, by completing our Contact Us page or by calling 888-960-0005.


Upside Target Met In 2 Copper ETFs (COPX, JJC)

The Global X Copper Miners ETF (COPX), providing investors access to a broad range of copper mining companies which we first mentioned in the November 1st Keys To This Week, met our $21.00 per share target today to capture a  capture a $3.50, 20% rise in less than 2 weeks.

Here is the chart from our November 1st report.

COPX daily through November 1st

COPX daily through November 1st

Here is an updated version of that chart as of November 10th.

COPX daily as of November 10th

COPX daily as of November 10th

In addition, the iPath Bloomberg Copper Subindex TR ETN (JJC), which reflects returns that are potentially available through an unleveraged investment in copper futures, met our $29.50 target today, first mentioned in our November 8th Keys To This Week contract, to capture a $2.27 per share, 8% rise in just 2 days.

Here is the chart from our November 8th report.

JJC weekly through November 7th

JJC weekly as of November 8th

Here is an updated version of that chart as of November 10th.

THROUGH

JJC weekly as of November 10th

Asbury Research subscribers can view our current research on the US stock market, market sectors and individual stocks like CAT shown above by logging into the Research Center via the big gold button in the upper right corner of the screen.

To non-subscribers:  Request more information about us, including services and pricing, by visiting our Contact Us page or by calling 888-960-0005.

 


How We Use ETF Asset Flows To Help Determine Upcoming Market Direction

For the past year we have been displaying and discussing the importance of ETF asset flows as one of the only metrics we know of that often actually leads price direction.  Since these flows, as they pertain to the SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA), have recently been a textbook example of this, we decided to present it today as a teaching opportunity.

Despite the fact that we have been overall bullish on the US stock market for most of this year, back in mid July we began suggesting that subscribers not chase the new highs in the S&P 500 (not put new money to work there) because it appeared that near term downside risk exceeded upside potential.  We suggested that subscribers consider waiting for what we believed was an emerging 4% to 7% correction lower, and then buy.

The S&P 500 managed to rise by an additional 1% between mid July and mid August before collapsing by 5% into late last week’s (November 3rd and 4th) lows.

The lower panel of the chart below plots the total net assets invested in the SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA) daily since May along with their 21 day moving average, the latter which we use to define a monthly trend of expansion or contraction.  A corresponding daily chart of DIA is plotted in the upper panel.  These daily asset flows are one of a handful of key market metrics that we use to help identify buying opportunities within what we believe is an overall bullish market environment.

Daily Total Net Assets Invested In DIA

Daily Total Net Assets Invested In DIA Since May

Beginning on with our October 18th report, entitled Watch ETFs Asset Flows For Clues On Q4 Market Direction (access requires subscription), and frequently via reports and personal emails to clients since then, we have been pointing out that the important $11.5 billion threshold in the total net assets invested in DIA was being tested.  We stated that if the 2016 advance in the US stock market was still healthy and valid, one of the first places we were likely to see it was in new inflows of assets coming in from the $11.5 billion area to drive DIA – and the Dow Jones Industrial Average that it represents – higher.

The green highlights in the chart show that new money came into DIA immediately on October 18th, the day of our report, and then over the next several days that followed. The green highlights also show that previous tests of the $11.5 billion level coincided with near term bottom in DIA on May 19th, June 27th and September 14th.

Most recently, the rightmost green highlights on the chart show that these assets once again tested the $11.5 billion threshold on November 4th — 2 days before the election — and immediately spiked higher on November 7th.  We displayed and discussed this in our Tuesday morning (election day) report entitled ETF Asset Flows: Market Positioning For More Post-Election Strength, stating that this indicated the market was betting the US stock market would resume its 2016 advance once the election was over.

Although there were some nasty bumps along the way, the market was once again correct as the Dow Industrials overcame a huge election night decline in the futures market to recapture those losses and to actually tack on an additional 257 point gain in Wednesday’s (November 9th) session.

The key takeaway is that correctly interpreting investor asset flows can give investors critical information, and often a big edge, at major market turning points.

Asbury Research subscribers can view both of reports referred to in this note, as well as all current research on the US stock market, market sectors, US interest rates and key ETFs, by logging into the Research Center via the big gold button in the upper right corner of the screen.

To non-subscribers:  Request more information about us, including services and pricing, by visiting our Contact Us page or by calling 888-960-0005.

 


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