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Our Profitable Trade Ideas For First Half 2016

Posted on: Wednesday, July 6th, 2016

In addition to the technical/quantitative macros analysis of the US financial landscape which includes the stock market, market sectors, interest rates, commodities and the US Dollar, we also provide our subscribers with specific buy and sell ideas in individual assets.  13 of our price targets on these ideas were met during the first half of 2016 and are listed below.

We believe that a profitable trade or investment idea is a two-step process.  The first and most obvious step is you have to get the direction right.  The second step, however, and the one many investors lose sight of, is that you also have to get the entry point right.  That is, the risk/reward parameters have to be solidly and consistently in your favor because, no matter how good you are at market forecasting, you aren’t going to be right all the time.

Therefore, if you can discipline yourself to only participate in the ideas where the reward to risk is better than 2:1 — that is, your expected profit is at least double the assumed risk — then you only have to be right on the direction of half of them to make money over time.  From there, more accuracy and better ratios just improve your profitability.

All of our ideas do not make money — but most of them do.  The following is a list of our profitable ideas for the first half of 2016, generated via the search feature within our Research Center (Asbury subscribers only).

AR Square_smallSearch results for “Target Met” | Asbury Research

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Upside Target Met In Utilities Sector SPDR (XLU)

The Utilities Sector SPDR ETF (XLU) met our $52.50 upside target today, first mentioned in our June 6th Keys To This Week report (access requires subscription), to capture a $2.49 per share, 5% gain in just over 3 weeks.

Click the linked title above to view this update and 2 accompanying charts. Continue reading

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Upside Target Met In CMS Energy Corporation (CMS)

CMS Energy Corporation (CMS) met our $45.00 per share upside target today, initially mentioned in our June 3rd Intermediate Term Outlook: Global Asset Prices (access requires subscription), to capture a $2.18 per share, 5.1% gain in just over 3 weeks. … Continue reading

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Upside Target Met In UK Long Gilts

The UK Long Gilt, Britain’s equivalent to the US 10-Year Treasury Note which has a long, tight and stable positive statistical correlation to it, met our January 125.50 upside target on June 14th to capture a 4.1% gain in about 5 months. The also-positively-correlated iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) coincidentally gained $11.81 or 9.4% during the same period while the yield of the benchmark 10-Year Treasury Note declined by 46 basis points to as low as 1.57% on June 16th.

Click the link to view this entire update with accompanying chart. Continue reading

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Downside Target Met In US Dollar/Yen (USDJPY)

US Dollar/Yen (USDJPY) met our 107.00 downside target this morning (April 29th), which was first mentioned in our February 8th Keys To This Week report (access requires subscription), to capture a 7% decline in a little less than 3 months. … Continue reading

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Upside Target Met In NASDAQ Composite (COMP)

The NASDAQ Composite (COMP) Index met our 4950 upside target late in the session on Wednesday April 13th, which was first mentioned in our February 29th Keys To This Week report, to capture a 392 point, 9% advance in about … Continue reading

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(Another) Upside Target Met In Metals & Mining ETF (XME)

Back on March 4th we pointed out that our $19.50 upside target in the SPDR S&P Metals and Mining ETF (XME), first mentioned in our February 29th Keys To This Week report (access requires subscription), was met to capture a … Continue reading

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Upside Target Met In S&P 500 (SPX)

The benchmark S&P 500 (SPX) met our 2075 upside target late in the session on Friday April 1st , which was first mentioned in our February 29th Keys To This Week report, to capture a 143 point, 7.4% advance in slightly over 1 month.

Click the link to view the accompanying chart. Continue reading

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Upside Target Met In PHLX Semiconductor (SOX) Index

The  PHLX Semiconductor (SOX) Index met our 670 upside target this morning (March 18th), which was first mentioned in our March 7th Keys To This Week report, to capture a 24.38 point, 4% advance in 11 days as shown in … Continue reading

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Upside Target Met In Dow Industrials (DJIA)

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) met our 17,500 upside target late in the session on Thursday March 17th , which was first mentioned in our February 29th Keys To This Week report, to capture a 984 point, 5% advance … Continue reading

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Upside Target Met In Metals & Mining ETF (XME)

The SPDR S&P Metals and Mining ETF (XME) met our $19.50 upside target today (March 4th), which was first mentioned in our February 29th Keys To This Week report, to capture a 22% advance in 4 days. Here is the … Continue reading

Search results for “Target Met” | Page 2 | Asbury Research

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Downside Target Met In London FTSE 100

The London FTSE 100 Index met our 5700 downside target today (January 20th), which was first mentioned in our January 7th report entitled Europe Warns Of More US Market Weakness (access requires subscription), to capture a 3% decline in a … Continue reading

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Downside Target Met In Berkshire Hathaway (BRKA)

Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway (BRKA) met our $190,000 downside target last week (January 13th), which was first mentioned in our December 9th report entitled Today’s Reversal Warns Of More Near Term Market Weakness (access requires subscription) and again in the … Continue reading

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Downside Target Met In Retail Sector ETF (XRT)

The SPDR S&P 500 Retail Sector ETF (XRT) met our $40.00 initial downside target today, which was first mentioned in our November 16th Keys To This Week report, to capture a 3.02 point, 7% decline in 2 months.

Click the link to view this update and 2 accompanying charts. Continue reading


Asbury Research subscribers can view our current research on the US stock market and market sectors, US interest rates, the US Dollar, and commodities by logging into the Research Center via the big gold button in the upper right corner of the screen.

Interested investors can request more information about us, including sample research, services and pricing, by visiting our Contact Us page or by calling 888-960-0005.