Research Excerpts

Asbury Research’s Stock Market Update & Asbury Investment Management Video: September 19th, 2019

Posted on: Thursday, September 19th, 2019

US Stock Market: 2019 Advance Resumes Amid Positive Market Internals

In our previous September 5th update, we pointed out that our Correction Protection Model (CPM) turned back to a Risk On status on August 22nd and that, about a week later on August 29th, our Asbury 6 (A6) key market internals (see Table 1 below) turned back to a Positive bias.  The benchmark S&P 500 (SPX) has risen by 87.00 points or 3.0% since August 22nd, and by 85.00 points or 2.9% since August 29th.

Table 1

Chart 1 below shows that SPX is currently situated just above minor support at 2950, but just below its 3028 July 26th all-time high.  The index’s major trend remains up (bullish) above 2817 to 2800.

Chart 1

We are closely watching our CPM and A6 models, as well as other market metrics we track, as a coincident if not leading indication of whether the US stock market finishes 2019 in a strong way, at new all-time highs, or begins a long-overdue corrective decline as it is in the 10th year of a bull market that historically only lasts about half that long.


Editor’s Note: On September 14th John Kosar, our Chief Market Strategist, presented some of our latest research to the Los Angeles Chapter of the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII).  You can view the slide deck from that presentation by clicking the title below.

How To Navigate A 10-Year Old Bull Market Amid Elevated Geopolitical Risk

Prepared for The AAII Los Angeles Chapter


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