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Asbury Research’s Stock Market Update & Asbury Investment Management Video: April 19th, 2019

The US Stock Market: Sell In May And Go Away?

In our previous April 2nd update, we pointed out that the S&P 500 (SPX) was moving above important overhead resistance at 2800 to 2817 and said this cleared the way for a retest of the broad market index’s September 2018 all-time high of 2941.  SPX has since risen by an additional 51 points or 1.8%, as expected, and is now positioned just below these all-time highs — setting up another near term decision point for the market, and the likely springboard for its next significant directional move.

Does the 2019 uptrend continue from here, or does the well-known “sell in May and go away” seasonal decline begin?

We are currently watching a short list of particularly relevant and important indexes and metrics to make this determination  — and as soon as possible.  One of these is the NASDAQ 100 Index (NDX), which represents market-leading technology stocks.  The chart below plots NDX daily since mid August with its 200-day moving average, a widely-watched major trend proxy.  Not shown is that NDX has been outperforming SPX since late November 2018, leading the US broad market higher.

NDX daily since August 2018

The red highlights show that this index has spent the past two days (April 17th and 18th) bumping up against  its 7701 October 2018 all-time highs, which is major resistance.  Considering Technology’s propensity to lead the US broad market both higher and lower, and NDX’s nearly lockstep positive correlation to SPX over the past 30 years, how NDX resolves this test of major resistance is likely to be a coincident — if not leading — indication of whether the 2019 US broad market advance continues its torrid pace into the summer or begins an overdue corrective decline.

The video below shows how we have managed investor assets, in real time, amid the latest market conditions for our Asbury Research Management clients.


Asbury Investment Management (AIM): Our Latest Video
Asbury Research Ideas, Expertly Managed

Click Here for our 04/19/2019 Video Review, which explains how we have recently utilized Asbury Research’s market analysis and investment ideas to professionally manage client portfolios.

AIM offers a unique approach to investment management that is dynamic, based on the current condition and risk/reward profile of the financial markets, rather than on whatever your investment allocation may have been pre-determined to be.

For further information about Asbury Research Management, please email or call 1-844-4-ASBURY (1-844-427-2879).

This communication is for informational purposes only. It is not intended as investment advice, or as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial asset.  No inferences may be made and no guarantees of profitability are being stated by Asbury Research LLC.  The risk of loss trading in financial assets can be substantial. Therefore, you should therefore carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition.


Asbury Research’s Stock Market Update & Asbury Investment Management Video: April 2nd, 2019

The US Stock Market: Breaking Overhead Resistance Amid Improving Market Internals

In our previous March 13th update, we pointed out that the S&P 500 (SPX) had risen by 228 points or 9% since January 9th-10th, which is when our Asbury 6 key internal market metrics and Correction Protection Model CPM) both switched back to a positive. “Risk On” status, but most recently had declined to test primary underlying support at 2752 to 2739 on March 8th.

The chart below shows that SPX has since quickly rebounded from 2752 to 2739 support, back above overhead resistance at 2800 to 2817, and is actually setting new 2019 rally highs as of today.  This clears the way for continued strength and a potential retest of the broad market index’s September 2018 all-time high of 2941, as the 2817 to 2800 area now becomes underlying support.

S&P 500 daily since August 2018

Meanwhile, the table below shows that our Asbury 6 key stock market internals have all turned back to positive as of April 1st, after being split between positive and negative signals since March 13th — which is exactly when SPX started stalling at the 2800 to 2817 overhead resistance area from below.

(Editor’s Note: We update the Asbury 6 daily in our Research Center.)

The Asbury 6

There are also a few red flag on the horizon this quarter, among them too-bullish investor sentiment and a 60-year seasonal tendency for the S&P 500 to peak for the year during April.  However, as long as our key market internals remain positive, our bias will remain cautiously bullish on US stocks as it has since the beginning of the year.

The video, available below, shows how we have actually managed investor assets amid these recent market conditions for our Asbury Research Management clients.


Asbury Investment Management (AIM): Our Latest Video

Asbury Research Ideas, Expertly Managed

Click Here for our 04/02/2019 Video Review,

which explains how we have recently utilized Asbury Research’s market analysis and investment ideas to professionally manage client portfolios.

We offer a unique approach to investment management that is dynamic and based on the current condition and risk/reward profile of the financial markets, rather than on whatever your pre-established investment allocation might be.  Our portfolio team monitors the current condition of global financial markets every day, as it pertains to your account, and alters our tactical and strategic investment approach as market conditions change.

We hope you will find these bi-weekly commentaries and accompanying videos informative, educational, and useful. Feel feel to contact us with questions about the markets, and for further information about our unique approach.

For further information about Asbury Research Management, please email or call 1-844-4-ASBURY (1-844-427-2879).

This communication is for informational purposes only. It is not intended as investment advice, or as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial asset.  No inferences may be made and no guarantees of profitability are being stated by Asbury Research LLC.  The risk of loss trading in financial assets can be substantial. Therefore, you should therefore carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition.


Asbury Research’s Stock Market Update & Asbury Investment Management Video: March 13th, 2019

The US Stock Market: Coiling For The Next 4-5% Advance

In our previous February 26th update, we pointed out that the S&P 500 (SPX) had risen by 228 points or 9% since January 9th-10th, when our Asbury 6 key internal market metrics and Correction Protection Model CPM) switched back to a Risk On mode, but was testing formidable overhead resistance at 2800 to 2817.

A little more than two weeks later, the lime green highlights on the chart below show that SPX first declined to test primary support at 2752 to 2739 on March 8th, then quickly rebounded to retest 2800 to 2817 resistance.

SPX daily since September 2018

This quick rebound from support probably represents an aggressive “buy the dip” mentality by what we believe is a large contingent of investors that missed the initial sharp rally off the late December lows, and promised themselves to buy the next minor decline into support — which is precisely what the decline into SPX 2752 to 2739 was.  Meanwhile, our Asbury 6 internal market metrics are currently split right down the middle between positive and negative signals. which tells us that investors are collectively uncertain about what the market’s next direction will be.

Once this is resolved, we believe it will lead into at least the next 4% to 5% directional move in the US broad market.  Stay tuned.

The video, available below, shows how we have actually managed investor assets amid these recent market conditions for our Asbury Research Management clients.


Asbury Investment Management (AIM): Our Latest Video

Asbury Research Ideas, Expertly Managed

Click Here for our 03/13/2019 Video Review, which explains how we have recently utilized Asbury Research’s market analysis and investment ideas to professionally manage client portfolios.

We offer a unique approach to investment management that is dynamic and based on the current condition and risk/reward profile of the financial markets, rather than on whatever your pre-set investment allocation might be.  Our portfolio team monitors the current condition of global financial markets every day, as it pertains to your account, and alters our tactical and strategic investment approach as market conditions change.

We hope you will find these bi-weekly commentaries and accompanying videos informative, educational, and useful. Feel feel to contact us with questions about the markets, and for further information about our unique approach.

For further information about Asbury Research Management, please email or call 1-844-4-ASBURY (1-844-427-2879).

This communication is for informational purposes only. It is not intended as investment advice, or as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial asset.  No inferences may be made and no guarantees of profitability are being stated by Asbury Research LLC.  The risk of loss trading in financial assets can be substantial. Therefore, you should therefore carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition.


Asbury Research’s Stock Market Update & Asbury Investment Management Video: February 26th, 2019

The US Stock Market: At A Major Inflection Point

In our previous February 5th update, we pointed out that the benchmark S&P 500 (SPX) was testing its 200-day moving average, a widely-watched major trend proxy, as overhead resistance.  You may recall that the sharp 4th Quarter decline in SPX didn’t really started to accelerate until the 200-day MA was broken to the downside, on October 11th, and then proceeded to collapse by an additional 381 points or 14% into the late December lows.

About two weeks later, on January 9th, our Asbury 6 key internal market metrics all turned back to positive (bullish) and one day later, on January 10th, our Correction Protection Model CPM) switched back to a Risk On mode.  The S&P 500 has subsequently risen by 228 points or 9% but is now testing formidable overhead resistance at 2800 to 2817.  This level can be seen in the chart below, and is also displayed and discussed in our latest tactical videoSee the link to it near the bottom of this page.

SPX daily since September 2018

We view the SPX 2800 to 2817 level as an important intermediate term inflection point, from which the US broad market index is likely to either extend its 2019 advance to retest the 2941 September 20188 all-time highs, or begin an overdue — and potentially sharp — downside correction.

The video, available below, shows how we have actually managed investor assets amid these recent market conditions for our Asbury Research Management clients.


Asbury Investment Management (AIM): Our Latest Video

Click Here for our 02/05/2019 Video Review, which explains how we have recently utilized Asbury Research’s market analysis and investment ideas to professionally manage client portfolios.

We offer a unique approach to investment management that is dynamic and based on the current condition and risk/reward profile of the financial markets, rather than on whatever your pre-set investment allocation might be.  Our portfolio team monitors the current condition of global financial markets every day, as it pertains to your account, and alters our tactical and strategic investment approach as market conditions change.

We hope you will find these bi-weekly commentaries and accompanying videos informative, educational, and useful. Feel feel to contact us with questions about the markets, and for further information about our unique approach.

For further information about Asbury Research Management, please email or call 1-844-4-ASBURY (1-844-427-2879).


Asbury Research’s Stock Market Update & Asbury Investment Management Video: February 5th, 2019

The January Market Rebound: The Resumption of The 2009 Bull Market, Or Just A Correction In An Uncompleted Bear Market?

In our January 2nd Keys To This Week report (access requites subscription), we suggested that our subscribers “consider putting a small, preliminary percentage of available assets to work at or near this level in the event that the US stock market does indeed stabilize from decade-long support levels.”  We actually displayed and discussed one of those secular support levels, in the NYSE Composite Index (NYSE), in our previous January 23rd free update.

About 2 weeks later, in mid January, we suggested that subscribers consider putting an additional portion of available assets to work as the benchmark S&P 500 (SPX) rose above what we considered to be primary minor overhead resistance at 2600.

The chart below shows that SPX has since risen by an additional 140 points or 5% and is currently testing major overhead resistance at 2741.  It represents the index’s 200-day moving average, a widely-watched major trend proxy.

S&P 500 daily since September 2018

If SPX can manage to sustain a rise above SPX 2741, while maintaining its recent technical strength as indicated by our Asbury 6 key market internals, it will clear the way for a retest of the September 2018 all-time high of 2741. 

If the market weakens from here, however, it would warn that the current major downtrend in the S&P 500 is resuming. If it’s the latter, we will move to a defensive stance that protects investor assets.

The video available below shows how we have actually managed investor assets amid these recent market conditions for our Asbury Research Management clients.


Asbury Investment Management (AIM): Our Latest Video

Thank you for your interest in Asbury Investment Management.

We offer a unique approach to investment management that is dynamic and based on the current condition and risk/reward profile of the financial markets, rather than on whatever your pre-set investment allocation might be.  Our portfolio team monitors the current condition of global financial markets every day, as it pertains to your account, and alters our tactical and strategic investment approach as market conditions change.

We hope you will find these bi-weekly commentaries and accompanying videos informative, educational, and useful. Feel feel to contact us with questions about the markets, and for further information about our unique approach.

Click Here for our 02/05/2019 Video Review, which explains how we have recently utilized Asbury Research’s market analysis and investment ideas to professionally manage client portfolios.

For further information about Asbury Research Management, please email or call 1-844-4-ASBURY (1-844-427-2879).


The Asbury 6: How We Determine Risk On From Risk Off Environments

As we see it, one of our primary roles at Asbury Research is keep our subscribers from losing money in the market.  We do this by analyzing market conditions every day because, most of the time, you can spot emerging trouble before it becomes apparent in the major indexes.  That is, if you know where to look.

One of the ways we do this is via our Asbury 6, six key market internals. 

We think of the Asbury 6 as the cylinders of a six cylinder car.  When all six are firing, the car continues moving down the road, over hills and around obstacles.  However, if these cylinders stop functioning, then one-by-one, little-by-little, the car loses its ability to continue moving forward. 

The following are recent examples of how this metric works in both Risk Off and Risk On Environments.

The table below shows that, as of October 10th of last year, four of our Asbury 6 had moved into negative territory to indicate an emerging Risk Off Environment.  (Note: The Asbury 6 is updated daily and is accessible to subscribers in our password-protected Research Center.)

Asbury 6 Key Market Internals Through October 10th

This negative shift in stock market internals, which occurred just 13 days after the S&P 500 (SPX) set its all-time high on September 21st, preceded a 438.00 point, 16% decline by SPX into the December 26th lows.

More recently, on January 9th, the table below shows that four of the Asbury 6 moved back into positive territory to indicate an emerging Risk On Environment.  The S&P 500 has since risen by 123.00 points or 5%.

Asbury 6 Key Market Internals Through January 9th

The final table below shows that, as of today, all six of the Asbury 6 are in positive territory.

Asbury 6 Key Market Internals Through January 30th

As long as the Asbury 6 remain positive, the current rally will continue.  If they start to turn negative, however, it will indicate the market’s vulnerability to another decline. Moreover, the longer the Asbury 6 remain negative, the longer the decline will last.

And, most important, based on past performance, our clients should know that the next market decline is coming before it has a chance to do serious damage to their portfolios.


Asbury Research subscribers can view our latest research on the US stock market, market sectors, US interest rates, ETFs and commodities, as well as a table with our current picks in US stocks, ETFs, and global indexes, by logging into the Research Center via the big gold button in the upper right corner of the screen.

To non-subscribers:  Request more information about us, including service and pricing options, by visiting our Contact Us page or by calling 888-960-0005.

For asset management, please visit the Asbury Investment Management (AIM) website.


Asbury Research’s Stock Market Update & Asbury Investment Management Video: January 23rd, 2019

The US Stock Market: At A Long Term Decision Point

In our previous Asbury Research’s Stock Market Update & Asbury Investment Management Video, dated December 27th, entitled The US Stock Market: On The Verge Of A Bear Market, we said that the US stock market, and global stock markets in general, remained in the midst of a major downtrend that we first started warning investors about — and first started protecting investor portfolios from — back in early October.

But something interesting and potentially very important was happening as we were writing that update.

The chart below plots the NYSE Composite Index (NYSE) weekly since 2009 along with its 52-week moving average, the latter a major trend proxy.  Although we acknowledge that NYSE may not be the most popular index to invest in, its extremely tight and stable positive correlation to the S&P 500 (SPX) at various intervals over the past 40 years — most recently a essentially lockstep 0.99 over the past 3 months — strongly suggests that as goes NYSE, so is likely to go SPX.

NYSE weekly since 2009

The green highlights show that NYSE tested — and actually declined slightly below — its March 2009 secular uptrend line at the very end of December, but has since aggressively rebounded from it.  Meanwhile, similarly important secular support levels were also tested and held, at right about the same time, in a number of other US stock indexes and key sector ETFs — all which are also positively correlated to the S&P 500.

This tells us that, even though the major trend in the S&P 500 — and in about 85% of the 60 global stock indexes we track — is still down (bearish) according to its position below its 200-day moving average, a longer term bottom could be emerging at those late December lows.  More detail on this emerging major inflection point for the US stock market is available in our premium research service.

The video below shows in more detail how we have navigated these market conditions for Asbury Research Management clients over the past several weeks.


Asbury Investment Management (AIM): Our Latest Video

Thank you for your interest in Asbury Investment Management. We attempt to provide the highest level risk management and investment performance available.  Anyone can provide you exposure to the markets. We bring our undivided attention, skill and experience to investing AND protecting our clients capital. We hope you will find these bi-weekly commentary and video reviews informative and helpful. Please don’t ever hesitate to ask if you would like to have a more in-depth conversation about our processes.

Click Here for our 01/22/2019 Video Review, which explains how we have used Asbury Research’s market analysis and investment ideas to professionally manage client portfolios.

For further information about Asbury Research Management, please email or call 1-844-4-ASBURY (1-844-427-2879).


John Kosar’s January 11th, 2019 Interview: Financial Sense

Jim Puplava of the popular Financial Sense website welcomes back John Kosar CMT, Chief Investment Strategist at Asbury Research LLC.

In his latest interview by Financial Sense, which took place on Friday January 11th, John discussed Asbury Research’s outlook for the US financial landscape, as well as specific areas of the economy including:

  • the US stock market,
  • US market sectors and industry groups,
  • global equities including emerging markets,
  • US interest rates,
  • key commodities like crude oil and gold,
  • Asbury’s Correction Protection Model (CPM), and
  • our Asbury 6 key internal market metrics.

Click Here to listen to the interview.


Asbury Research subscribers can view our current research on the US and global financial landscape, and our  current stock and ETF picks, by logging into the Research Center via the big gold button in the upper right corner of the screen.

Interested investors can request more information about us, including sample research, services and pricing, by visiting our Contact Us page or by calling 888-960-0005.

Click Here to request information about Asbury Investment Management (AIM).

Thanks to Jim Puplava and his staff for the invitation and another opportunity to speak to his large and loyal following of professional and individual investors.


Last Chance: Holiday Savings From Asbury Research

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You are receiving this special holiday offer because you have previously requested information about our investment research.

If you have been considering a subscription to Asbury Research
but have been putting it off, this is a great time to act.
Regardless of whether you are a professional/institution
or individual investor:

between now and midnight on December 31st, 2018 only we will take 20% off of the price that we previously quoted you during 2018 for our research services.

If you need us to resend your pricing information, just contact us at sales@asburyresearch.com and we will provide you with that information, including a description of services provided and a new quote that includes your 20% discount.

Act Now!  This offer is only good through December 31st 2018, or
when a limited number of available subscriptions runs out.
New Subscribers Only!

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Asbury Research’s Stock Market Update & Asbury Investment Management Video: December 27th, 2018

The US Stock Market: On The Verge Of A Bear Market

Our previous Asbury Research’s Stock Market Update & Asbury Investment Management Video, dated December 14th, was entitled US Stock Market: On The Brink Of A Deeper DeclineThe benchmark S&P 500 (SPX) closed at 2600 on that day and subsequently collapsed by an additional 253 points or 9.7% by December 26th.

The US stock market, and global stock markets in general, remain in the midst of a major downtrend that we first started warning investors about, and first started protecting investor portfolios from, back in early October.  You can go back through previous issues of this update to see how we were approaching this situation as it emerged.

Although there are a lot of additional market metrics that we use to determine risk-on from risk-off investing environments, our overall methodology for avoiding risk and protecting client portfolios during this very tough period has been a simple 2-step process:

  1. identify the key market levels below the market in the major US stock indexes, and
  2. measure the market’s internal strength at each one of these levels to determine if there is enough of a positive change to first facilitate a bottom and then, ideally, to fuel a bullish reversal.

Several key price levels below the market have already been tested but, at least thus far, none of them has held because our key market internals — which we call The Asbury 6 as shown in the table below — have been negative across the board.

The Asbury 6 through 12-26-2018

When all Asbury 6 are positive, market internals are the most conducive to adding risk to portfolios. Each negative reading adds an additional element of risk to participating in current or new investment ideas.

We update this table daily and make it available to Asbury Research subscribers.  The Asbury 6 is also an important component of the process we use to manage risk in client portfolios — which helped us to avoid most of this nasty 4th Quarter decline.

The video below shows in more detail how we have navigated these treacherous conditions for Asbury Research Management clients over the past several weeks.


Asbury Investment Management (AIM): Our Latest Video

Thank you for your interest in Asbury Investment Management. We attempt to provide the highest level risk management and investment performance available.  Anyone can provide you exposure to the markets. We bring our undivided attention, skill and experience to investing AND protecting our clients capital. We hope you will find these bi-weekly commentary and video reviews informative and helpful. Please don’t ever hesitate to ask if you would like to have a more in-depth conversation about our processes.

Click Here for our 12/27/2018 Video Review, which explains how we have used Asbury Research’s market analysis and investment ideas to professionally manage client portfolios.

For further information about Asbury Research Management, please email or call 1-844-4-ASBURY (1-844-427-2879).

 


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