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Here we periodically publish a chart and a brief excerpt from one of our premium research reports, a link or a video from one of our appearances in the financial media, or a notification that one of our price targets has been met, for the purpose of familiarizing potential subscriber with our investment research and to stay on the radar of those who have expressed an interest in us.

Anyone can sign up to receive our research excerpts, free of charge, by completing the Subscribe To Our Blog box at right.

Professional investors can request a free trial of our premium research by clicking here and typing TRIAL REQUEST in the “Reason For Inquiry” box.

If interested in an immediate subscription please email sales@asburyresearch.com or call 1-888-960-0005

We Are Exiting Progressive Corp (PGR) Today

Asbury Research uses two proprietary models in its stocks and ETF selection process: Asbury Momentum and Asbury Value.  Asbury Momentum buys strength in strongly trending stocks, and Asbury Value buys weakness within positive price trends. Progressive Corp (PDR) was an Asbury Value pick.

We have exited our July 19th long idea (per our Asbury Value Model) in Progressive Corp (PGR) at 66.64. today per this morning’s update in our Stock and ETF Ideas table (access requires subscription),  capturing an 11.2% gain in 27 business days.

PGR daily since January

PGR also outperformed the S&P 500 (SPX) by 10.2% during the same period.


Asbury Research subscribers can view our latest research on the US stock market, market sectors, US interest rates, ETFs and commodities, as well as a table with our current picks in US stocks, ETFs, and global indexes, by logging into the Research Center via the big gold button in the upper right corner of the screen.

Subscribers and interested investors can view our most recent closed out trade ideas by Clicking Here.

To non-subscribers:  Request more information about us, including service and pricing options, by visiting our Contact Us page or by calling 888-960-0005.


Asbury Research’s Stock Market Update & Asbury Investment Management Video: August 22nd, 2018

The following is a brief stock market overview from Asbury Research, and below it a link to a video from Asbury Investment Management (AIM) which explains how we are utilizing Asbury Research investment ideas and strategies to professionally manage client portfolios.  Questions, comments welcome. Click Here to contact us.

Asbury Research: US Stock Market Update, August 22nd, 2018

Both the major and minor trends in the benchmark S&P 500 (SPX) are positive (bullish) as the US broad market index is currently challenging its January all-time high at 2873.  Looking “under the hood” of the market, our Correction Protection Model (CPM) remains in a Positive, risk on mode as of July 10th while 5 of our “Asbury 6” key market internal metrics are in positive (bullish) territory.  In this type of environment we are adding risk to portfolios by investing in individual stocks and ETFs and, accordingly, have just added 4 new stocks to our buy list within the past week.

However, investors also need to be aware of the broader, overall investment environment, and right now there are definitely some headwinds to be aware of.  They include negative seasonality in the S&P 500 from now through early October, the fact that 92% of the 52 global indexes we track are in the midst of major downtrends, and, of course, this week’s latest drama out of Washington — the Manafort and Cohen convictions.

In situations like this, where the trend is positive but the environment is turbulent, it is imperative to know where the key levels are in the specific assets you invest in, and to have an actionable plan to protect capital should key levels below the market be broken The chart below shows that minor support in the S&P 500 exists at 2802 to 2791, and that major support is currently at 2715 to 2692.

S&P 500 daily since November 2017

Consistent updates on this developing situation, more charts and detail on current market conditions, plus access to our Correction Protection Model (CPM) are all available with an Asbury Research subscription.  Contact  Us for sample reports and pricing.


Asbury Investment Management (AIM): Our Latest Video

Click Here for our 08/22/2018 Video Review, which explains how we used our latest research to professionally manage client portfolios.

For further information about Asbury Research Management, please email
or call
1-844-4-ASBURY (1-844-427 2879).


Marathon Petroleum (MPC): New All-Time Highs?

One of the components of our investment research is providing buy and sell ideas in individual stocks and ETFs.  We have two quantitative models, Asbury Momentum and Asbury Value, that find and identify these opportunities.  A simple way to describe them is that Asbury Momentum buys strength and Asbury Value buys weakness.  Asbury Research Subscribers can access all of these by logging into our Research Center.

On July 10th we alerted subscribers to a new Asbury Value buying opportunity in Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC).  Marathon Petroleum Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in refining, marketing, retailing, and transporting petroleum products primarily in the United States.

MPC daily since January

The green highlights on the chart above show that MPC proceeded to rise by 4% by July 25th, the day before Q2 earnings were due to be reported, at which time we suggested that more risk averse subscribers may wish to exit with a small profit rather than take on additional earnings-related event risk.

Since then, however, the green highlights also show that MPC has risen by an additional 8% for a total of a 12% gain since our initial July 10th Asbury Value signal.  The red highlights show that this post-earnings rally has resulted in a test of overhead resistance at 83.27, which is the April 26th all-time high that had already been re-tested on June 4th and July 31st.

The more times an overhead resistance level is tested, the more likely it is to eventually be broken by new highs.  A sustained rise above 83.27 in MPC would clear the way for a much more significant and sustained move higher.


Asbury Research subscribers can view our current research on the US and global financial landscape, and our  current stock and ETF picks, by logging into the Research Center via the big gold button in the upper right corner of the screen.

Interested investors can request more information about us, including sample research, services and pricing, by visiting our Contact Us page or by calling 888-960-0005.

New!  Click Here to request information about Asbury Investment Management (AIM)


Asbury Research’s Stock Market Update & Asbury Investment Management Video: July 31st, 2018

The following is a brief stock market overview from Asbury Research, and below it a link to a video from Asbury Investment Management (AIM) which explains how we are utilizing Asbury Research investment ideas and strategies to professionally manage client portfolios.  Questions, comments welcome. Click Here to contact us.

Asbury Research: US Stock Market Update, July 31st, 2018

Both the major and minor trends in the benchmark S&P 500 (SPX) remain positive (bullish) as we head into August.  Moreover, our Correction Protection Model (CPM) has been in a Positive (risk on) mode since July 10th, and 5 of our “Asbury 6” key market internal metrics are also in positive territory.  That’s the good news.

The one of our Asbury 6 that is not in positive territory, however, is a particularly important one — investor asset flows –which could become the first indication of an emerging market decline.  The rightmost red highlights in the chart below show that the total net assets invested in the PowerShares QQQ ETF, which tracks the NASDAQ 100 (NDX), have shifted to a trend of monthly contraction (below their 21-day moving average) as of July 27th.  This means assets are leaving this market-leading ETF on a near term basis.  The longer this contraction of assets continues in the QQQs, the more vulnerable the broad market becomes to a decline — which would be indicated by a sustained move by SPX  back below the critical 2800 area.

Daily Asset Flows In QQQ Since April

Consistent updates on this developing situation, more charts and detail on current market conditions, plus access to our Correction Protection Model (CPM) are all available with an Asbury Research subscription.  Contact  Us for sample reports and pricing.


Asbury Investment Management (AIM): Our Latest Video

Click Here for our 07/31/2018 Video Review, which explains how we used our latest research to professionally manage client portfolios.

For further information about Asbury Research Management, please email or call 1-844-4-ASBURY (1-844-427 2879).


Asbury Research’s Stock Market Update & Asbury Investment Management Video: July 17th, 2018

The following is a brief stock market overview from Asbury Research, and below it a link to a video from Asbury Investment Management (AIM) which explains how we recently utilized Asbury Research investment ideas and strategies to professionally manage client portfolios.  Questions, comments welcome. Click Here to contact us.

Asbury Research: US Stock Market Update, July 17th, 2018

A cursory look at the US stock market shows it to be in pretty good shape.  The benchmark S&P 500‘s major and minor trends are up while 5 of our “Asbury 6” key market internal metrics are positive (bullish).  A closer look, however, reveals that there are also some significant risks to be aware of.

Two of those risks can be seen in global markets and in market-leading semiconductors.  Regarding the former, three major overseas global stock markets — all which are positively correlated to the S&P 500 — have recently slipped into major downtrends.  Regarding the latter, the PHLX Semiconductor (SOX, see chart below) Index has made six failed attempts since November 2017 to rise and remain above 1362, which is the March 2000 top-of-the-tech-bubble high.

We are paying special attention to these two factors, plus others  — while also closely watching some key index levels here in the U.S. — for further evidence that the market may be moving into a “risk off” environment.

SOX Index daily: 1-year chart

More charts, and much more detailed and specific coverage of individual stocks, ETFs, and US interest rates, plus access to our Correction Protection Model (CPM) are available with an Asbury Research subscription.  Contact  Us for sample reports and pricing.


Asbury Investment Management (AIM): Our Latest Video

Click Here for our 07/16/2018 Video Review, which explains how we used our latest research to better manage client portfolios.

For further information about Asbury Research Management, please email or call 1-844-4-ASBURY (1-844-427 2879).


New Asbury Value Model Now Available

A June 11th email to subscribers announced that we were working on a new stock and ETF picking model that was based on buying weakness, rather than buying strength as our existing model has been doing since late 2016.  We call the new model Asbury Value.

We actually began developing this new model back in March, after the S&P 500 had been drifting sideways since late January.  At that time our current model, which identifies momentum breakouts and which had performed very well since we began publishing the signals in September 2016, stopped performing nearly as well.  This was because the model was trying to capitalize on momentum breakouts in individual stocks, but within a broad market environment where there was no positive momentum.

Our new Value model, which we have now been tracking in real time since May 1st, has 33 closed out trade ideas thus far and is doing what it was designed to do — actually taking advantage of the current non-trending, choppy market environment to buy good stocks that have had a substantial correction.

click on table to enlarge

Of 34 closed Value trades since May 1st:

  • 59% have been profitable
  • initial risk per idea: 4.8%
  • average winning idea: +9.0%
  • average losing idea: -4.8% (Note: excluding NKTR, which atypically gapped 31% lower to stop us out on June 4, the average losing idea is just -3.5%.)
  • 3.3% average profit per trade
  • 21% of these ideas have produced better than an 11% gain

Especially within the current non-trending broad market environment, where the S&P 500 is up just 1% for the year, we are pleased with this performance so far.  More important, we believe Asbury Value will make an effective “partner” for our current momentum signal (Asbury Momentum) which, as the table below shows, has performed very well during the trending environment from inception through 2017.

click on table to enlarge

Effective immediately, all new Asbury Value ideas will be published in our trade ideas table in the Research Center, under the heading “Type” as Value.  All ideas from our existing signal will be listed under the heading Momentum.

Questions welcome.


John Kosar’s June 28th, 2018 Interview: Financial Sense

Jim Puplava of the popular Financial Sense website welcomes back John Kosar CMT, Chief Investment Strategist at Asbury Research LLC.

In his latest interview by Financial Sense, which took place on Thursday June 28th, John discussed Asbury Research’s outlook for the US financial landscape, as well as specific areas of the economy including:

  • the US stock market, market sectors, and industry groups,
  • US interest rates,
  • key commodities like crude oil and gold, and
  • Asbury’s Correction Protection Model (CPM).

Click Here to listen to the interview.

 

Asbury Research subscribers can view our current research on the US and global financial landscape, and our  current stock and ETF picks, by logging into the Research Center via the big gold button in the upper right corner of the screen.

Interested investors can request more information about us, including sample research, services and pricing, by visiting our Contact Us page or by calling 888-960-0005.

New!  Click Here to request information about Asbury Investment Management (AIM)

Thanks to Jim Puplava and his staff for the invitation and another opportunity to speak to his large and loyal following of professional and individual investors.


Asbury Research’s Stock Market Update & Asbury Investment Management Video

The following is a brief stock market overview from Asbury Research, and below it a link to a video from Asbury Investment Management (AIM) which explains how we utilized Asbury Research investment ideas and strategies to professionally manage client portfolios.  Questions, comments welcome. Click Here to contact us.

Asbury Research: US Stock Market Update, June 29th 2018

The US stock market’s larger 2016 major uptrend is still intact.  However, there was a failed attempt to re-engage that uptrend in mid-March, and there could be another failed attempt brewing now due to technical breakdowns in positively correlated French and Chinese stock indices, and recent weakness here in the states in the Dow Transports (DJTA) and NYSE Composite (NYSE).

Meanwhile, many of our key near term market internals have turned negative including contracting investor asset flows, widening corporate bond spreads, and recent relative underperformance by US equity prices versus junk bond prices.  These factors have at least temporarily put us in a defensive mode in which we are significantly limiting our investment in individual stocks and instead focusing on index ETFs, the latter where we can better control our risk due to lessened volatility.

When price action and market internals indicate the potential for upcoming market weakness, as they do now, it is particularly important to know where the key levels are in major benchmark indexes so investors can distinguish opportunity from risk.  The chart below plots the current key levels in the S&P 500, both above and below the market.  A sustained decline below major support at the 200-day MA, currently at 2668, would corroborate the internal weakness we have been seeing over the past week and would warn of a deeper decline.

S&P 500 daily since Q4 2017

More charts, and much more detailed and specific coverage of individual stocks, ETFs, and US interest rates, plus access to our Correction Protection Model (CPM) are available with an Asbury Research subscription.  Contact  Us for sample reports and pricing.


Asbury Investment Management (AIM): Our Latest Video

Click Here for our 06/29/2018 Video Review, which explains how we used our latest research to better manage client portfolios.

For further information about Asbury Research Management,
please email or call 1-844-4-ASBURY (1-844-427 2879).


Upside Target Met In SPDR Health Care Services ETF (XHS)

The chart below shows that the SPDR Health Care Services ETF (XHS) essentially met our 73.00 per share upside target yesterday, June 21st, by trading as high as $72.77 intraday. 

This price target was first displayed and discussed in our April 30th Keys To This Week report (access requires subscription) to capture a $7.64 per share, 12% price advance in a little less than 2 months.

XHS also outperformed the S&P 500 (SPX) by 7% during the same period.

Here is the chart from our April 30th report.

XHS: November 2017 to April 27th

Here is the updated chart through the close yesterday (June 21st).

XHS: November 2017 to April 27th

 

We publish these notifications for 3 reasons:

  1. to let Asbury Research subscribers know when to consider taking profits on existing positions,
  2. to let non-subscribers track what we are doing in the market, in real time, and
  3. to make everyone aware of a potential upcoming price reversal as price advances often end as upside targets are met and more savvy investors take profits.

 

Asbury Research subscribers can view our latest research on the US stock market, market sectors, US interest rates, ETFs and commodities, as well as a table with our current picks in US stocks, ETFs, and global indexes, by logging into the Research Center via the big gold button in the upper right corner of the screen.

Subscribers and interested investors can view our most recent closed out trade ideas by Clicking Here.

To non-subscribers:  Request more information about us, including service and pricing options, by visiting our Contact Us page or by calling 888-960-0005.


US Stocks Just Passed An Important Test. Here’s The Next Hurdle To Watch.

The following is an excerpt from our May 29th Keys To This Week report on the US stock market (access requires subscription).  These reports, sent to subscribers on Monday mornings, list the 10 key market metrics to watch for that particular week, what they are saying about upcoming market direction, and the investment opportunities — or dangers to your portfolio — they suggest.


Keys To This Week, May 29th 2018:
The US Stock Market

Conclusion, Investment Implications, Strategy

First and foremost, the benchmark S&P 500’s (SPX) minor and major trends remain positive (bullish) heading into this week amid indications that the market’s larger 2016 advance is resuming

Our current cautiously positive overall market bias will remain intact this week above minor underlying support near SPX 2675.  However, it would take a sustained rise above SPX 2743, amid narrowing corporate bond spreads and improving volume, to help confirm the market is making a sustainable resumption of its larger 2016 advance.

continued>>>


Here is the chart that accompanied that analysis/observation, one of nine that were included in the entire report.

May 29th Keys To This Week: Chart 4 of 9

In this case, we identified a potential buy area in the S&P 500 at 2675 (actually at 2678 to 2674, per the chart), a place where the market needed to hold to maintain a bullish bias or risk going into a  much deeper decline.  SPX traded as low as 2677 that day right before rising by 4.3% over the next 10 trading sessions.

The market has been extremely volatile this year, with no real direction, and the flow of news and data can be overwhelming.  What should you be paying attention to?

We add unique value by letting subscribers know when to be paying attention — and to whatright when the market is at important inflection points where professional traders have to make tactical decisions in their portfolios.  Identifying these turning points, ahead of time, allows investors to manage their risk better — specifically, putting new money to work, or mitigating risk, at the right spots.

Looking ahead, the next key level to watch above the market is 2800 in the S&P 500.  We will be carefully watching our 6 key market metrics to determine the internal, “under the hood” health of the market as this level is being tested.  A sustained rise above it should clear the way for even better gains in the upcoming months.  Stay tuned.

 

Asbury Research subscribers can view our latest research on the US stock market, market sectors and industry groups, interest rates, ETFs and commodities — plus our current picks in individual US stocks and ETFs — by logging into the Research Center via the big gold button in the upper right corner of the screen.

Subscribers and interested investors can view our recent closed out trade ideas by Clicking Here.

To non-subscribers:  Request more information about us, including service and pricing options, by visiting our Contact Us page or by calling 888-960-0005.

Asbury Investment Management (AIM): Our Latest Video

Click Here for a video that explains how we used our latest research to better manage client portfolios.

For further information about Asbury Research Management,
please email or call 1-844-4-ASBURY (1-844-427 2879).


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