The Weekly Wrap-Up

Posted on: March 25th, 2023

Feeling Around For A Bottom? Conclusion, Investment Implications, Strategy The benchmark S&P 500 (SPX) has spent the past month hovering just above an important band of underlying support at 3932 to 3762 amid a growing list of metrics that sug...

Sector & Industry Group Ideas

Posted on: March 25th, 2023

Sector & Industry Group Ideas: Trend, Relative Performance, Asset Flows The table below lists Sector and Industry Group ETFs that are currently displaying favorable quantitative / technical characteristics for upcoming outright strength and re...

Where To Be Invested:
CARP Model
US vs. World Model

Posted on: March 25th, 2023

Cross Asset Relative Performance (CARP) Model This table identifies relative trends across 11 different investment categories — 8 for Equities, 3 for Fixed Income — in 3 different time frames for the purpose of determining which parts ...

The SEAF Model

Posted on: March 25th, 2023

What Is The SEAF Model? SEAF is an acronym for Sector ETF Asset Flows.  The SEAF Model was created to quantitatively identify long/overweight opportunities in US market sectors.  SEAF does this by “following the money” as it moves around the 11 Se...

The Asbury 6

Posted on: March 24th, 2023

Current Status: Negative as of February 21st (from Positive on January 11th) The table displays the current status of the Asbury 6 through the date shown.  Four or more metrics in one direction, either Positive (green) or Negative (red), indicate ...

Gold Miners (RING) Poised For More Strength

Posted on: March 24th, 2023

Conclusion, Investment Implications, Strategy The iShares MSCI Global Gold Miners ETF (RING) is in the midst of minor and major bullish price trends while also amid a March 16th trend of Strategic  (quarterly) relative outperformance versus the be...

Communication Services (XLC) Poised For More Strength

Posted on: March 22nd, 2023

Conclusion, Investment Implications, Strategy The Communication Services Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLC) is in the midst of minor and major bullish price trends while also amid a Jan 4th trend of Strategic  (quarterly) relative outperformance versus...

Keys To This Week: US Stock Market

Posted on: March 20th, 2023

Market Testing Major Support Amid Weak Internals Correction Protection Model: Risk Off as of February 21st (from Risk On on January 12th) Our quantitative model for the US stock market, which uses the S&P 500 (SPX) as a proxy, shifted to “Risk...

Keys To This Week: Market Sectors & Industry Groups

Posted on: March 20th, 2023

Conclusion, Investment Implications, Strategy According to our SEAF Model, the most significant trend of investor asset inflows is currently going into Technology (XLK).  From 1/26 through 2/23, Technology (XLK) was consistently the 1st ranked sec...

The Weekly Wrap-Up

Posted on: March 18th, 2023

Market Testing Major Support Amid Weak Internals Conclusion, Investment Implications, Strategy Last week’s modest rebound in the benchmark S&P 500 (SPX) was apparently triggered by its test of major underlying support at 3864 to 3762.  H...

Keys To This Week: US Stock Market

Posted on: March 13th, 2023

Stocks Remain Risk Off, Testing Long Term Support Correction Protection Model: Risk Off as of February 21st (from Risk On on January 12th) Our quantitative model for the US stock market, which uses the S&P 500 (SPX) as a proxy, shifted to “Ris...

Keys To This Week: Market Sectors & Industry Groups

Posted on: March 13th, 2023

Conclusion, Investment Implications, Strategy According to our SEAF Model, the most significant trends of investor asset inflows are going into Energy (XLE) and Industrial (XLI) Sectors for the second consecutive week.  Financials (XLF) had previo...

The Weekly Wrap-Up

Posted on: March 11th, 2023

SVB Bank Failure Snuffs Out January Bullish Breakout Conclusion, Investment Implications, Strategy Despite a late January major bullish trend amid a number of positive, “risk on” relative performance relationships according to our CARP...

We Exited Long Idea XAR Today

Posted on: March 9th, 2023

Conclusion, Investment Implications, Strategy We exited our January 3rd long idea in the SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF (XAR) today, as shown in our Sector & ETF Ideas, for a 9% outright gain while outperforming the benchmark S&P...

SEAF Model Update: Exited Long/Overweight In Financials (XLF) Today

Posted on: March 9th, 2023

Conclusion, Investment Implications, Strategy The SEAF Model exited it’s Feb 13th long/overweight signal in the Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLF) this morning for a 5.8% outright loss while underperforming the the SPDR S&P 500 ETF ...

Keys To This Week: US Stock Market

Posted on: March 7th, 2023

Stocks At Major Decision Point, Leaning Higher Correction Protection Model: Risk Off as of February 21st (from Risk On on January 12th) Our quantitative model for the US stock market, which uses the S&P 500 (SPX) as a proxy, shifted to “Risk O...

Keys To This Week: Market Sectors & Industry Groups

Posted on: March 6th, 2023

Conclusion, Investment Implications, Strategy According to our SEAF Model, the most significant trends of investor asset inflows are now going to the Energy (XLE) and Industrial (XLI) Sectors. Also new this week, we have added Semiconductors (XSD)...

Monthly Investment Compass

Posted on: March 5th, 2023

Exceptional Risk/Reward Opportunity For US Stocks Monthly Investment Compass is a comprehensive collection of price charts, internal market data, and quantitative models that collectively convey our best investment ideas for US and global stock ma...

Metals & Mining (XME) Poised For More Strength

Posted on: March 3rd, 2023

Conclusion, Investment Implications, Strategy The SPDR S&P Metals and Mining ETF (XME)  is in the midst of minor and major bullish price trends while also amid an October 2022 trend of Strategic  (quarterly) relative outperformance versus the ...

Oil/Gas Equipment & Services (XES) Poised For More Strength

Posted on: February 28th, 2023

Conclusion, Investment Implications, Strategy The SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Equipment & Services ETF (XES) is in the midst of minor and major bullish trends that were initiated in October 2022, while also amid Strategic relative outperformanc...

Keys To This Week: US Stock Market

Posted on: February 27th, 2023

S&P 500 Retesting January Major Breakout. Strategic Buying Opportunity? Correction Protection Model: Risk Off as of February 21st (from Risk On on January 12th) Our quantitative model for the US stock market, which uses the S&P 500 (SPX) a...

Keys To This Week: Market Sectors & Industry Groups

Posted on: February 27th, 2023

Conclusion, Investment Implications, Strategy According to our SEAF Model, the most significant trends of investor asset inflows continue to be in Technology and Financials. Also note that we have recently made some minor changes to our Sector &am...

The Weekly Wrap-Up

Posted on: February 25th, 2023

S&P 500 Retesting January Major Breakout Conclusion, Investment Implications, Strategy The benchmark S&P 500 (SPX) finished last week right on top of a band of major support at 3980 to 3886.  This support area is where the January 23rd maj...

Insurance (KIE) Poised For More Strength

Posted on: February 23rd, 2023

Conclusion, Investment Implications, Strategy The SPDR S&P Insurance ETF (KIE) is in the midst of minor and major bullish trends that were initiated in October 2022, amid Strategic relative outperformance versus the benchmark S&P 500 (SPY)...

Asbury 6 Negative Heading Into Today’s Session

Posted on: February 22nd, 2023

Conclusion, Investment Implications, Strategy Table 1 below shows that, as of the close on Tuesday February 21st, four of the Asbury 6 constituent metrics have shifted to negative (red). This turns the “A6” Model to a Negative status, ...

Correction Protection Model (CPM)

Posted on: February 22nd, 2023

Risk Off as of February 21st (from Risk On on January 12th) Our quantitative model for the US stock market, which uses the S&P 500 (SPX) as a proxy, shifted to “Risk Off (decreasing market exposure) as of the close on February 21st from “...

Keys To This Week: US Stock Market

Posted on: February 21st, 2023

Weakening Internals Warn Of A Retest Of Major Support Correction Protection Model: Risk On as of January 12th (from Risk Off on December 7th) Our quantitative model for the US stock market, which uses the S&P 500 (SPX) as a proxy, shifted to “...

Keys To This Week: Market Sectors & Industry Groups

Posted on: February 21st, 2023

Conclusion, Investment Implications, Strategy According to our SEAF Model, the most significant trends of investor asset inflows continue to be in Technology, Consumer Discretionary, and Financials. Also note that we made some minor changes to our...

The Weekly Wrap-Up

Posted on: February 18th, 2023

S&P 500 Continues To Test Pivotal 4100 Level Conclusion, Investment Implications, Strategy The benchmark S&P 500 (SPX) finished last week just below 4100, an important Tactical decision point that the index has been negotiating since late ...

President’s Day 2023 Holiday Schedule

Posted on: February 16th, 2023

Our office will be closed on Monday, February 20th in observance of President’s Day.   Our quantitative models (Asbury 6, CPM, SEAF, CARP, US vs The World) will all be updated over the long weekend, as usual. Our Keys To This Week repor...

Keys To This Week: US Stock Market

Posted on: February 13th, 2023

Market At Tactical Decision Point Within New Major Uptrend Correction Protection Model: Risk On as of January 12th (from Risk Off on December 7th) Our quantitative model for the US stock market, which uses the S&P 500 (SPX) as a proxy, shifted...

Keys To This Week: Market Sectors & Industry Groups

Posted on: February 13th, 2023

Conclusion, Investment Implications, Strategy According to our SEAF Model, the most significant trends of investor asset inflows through February 10th are in Technology and Consumer Discretionary and, new this week, also in Financials. Meanwhile, ...