The table and chart in this report display newly-updated performance data through March 2015 for our “Correction Protection Model” (CPM).
Click the link to view the report.
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The table and chart in this report display newly-updated performance data through March 2015 for our “Correction Protection Model” (CPM).
Click the link to view the report.
John Kosar will be a speaker at the NAAIM (National Association of Active Investment Managers) 2015 National Conference, entitled “Uncommon Knowledge”, which is being held at the Marriott Resort & Spa in Newport Beach, California on May 3rd through 6th. Hope to see you there! Click Here for more information about the conference, or call >>>
Our sector rotation model moved back to a market perform bias on the Consumer Discretionary Sector this morning, from an outperform bias as of December 1st 2014, to capture 6% of relative sector outperformance versus the S&P 500 during that almost-five-month period. This change of bias was due to the recent contraction in investor asset flows from an historically very over-invested sector.
Click The link to view the entire Email Alert.
Keys To This Week is one of 8 different reports that we produce for subscribers throughout the month. It includes a bullet-pointed list of what we believe are the most important and potentially market-moving charts, indicators, and data series to be aware of during the current week. The following is one of this week’s twelve >>>
The London FTSE Index essentially met our 7,100 upside target on Friday April 10th by trading as high as 7095 intraday. This target was first discussed in our July 1st Keys To This Week report to capture a 787 point, 13% advance over the past 21 months.
Click the link to view the entire posting.
The following is an excerpt from our Tuesday April 7th report which was sent to clients as the US stock market opened that day. The type of report, which we call What We’re Watching Today, is one of 8 different reports that we produce for subscribers throughout the month. WWWT is a typically a quick >>>
Our Correction Protection Model for the US stock market has captured 1,192 basis points in the S&P 500 from 2007 through 2014 (+84%), almost doubling the S&P 500’s 641 basis point rise (+45%) during the same period, with about half the volatility of returns and without using any leverage, short positions, or derivatives.
Click the link to view today’s entire posting.
The following is a brief excerpt from our Wednesday March 18th report, entitled Asset Flows Heading Into Today’s Fed Statement, which was sent to clients as the US stock market opened this morning. The type of report, which we call What We’re Watching Today, is one of 8 different reports that we produce for subscribers >>>
Click the link below to listen to John’s Kosar’s Thursday March 6th interview with Ryan Puplava of the popular Financial Sense website, where John and Ryan discuss Asbury Research’s: near to intermediate term US stock market outlook, 2015 forecast for US interest rates, picks for upcoming relative outperformance in US stock market sectors, and 2015 outlook >>>
Our sector rotation model utilizes a combination of proprietary ETF asset flow and price momentum metrics that indicate which sectors of the S&P 500 are under-invested or over-invested, and how to profit from these conditions. In a report to subscribers on December 1st, we pointed out that the percentage of sector bet-related assets being allocated >>>
The table in this posting includes newly-updated, more comprehensive performance data for our “Correction Protection Model” (CPM) through December 2014. We back-tested the model from 2007 forward because this period includes both uptrends, downtrends, and sideways trends. It has been been running in real-time since September 2013.
Click the link to view the entire Asbury Research blog posting and accompanying charts and tables.
John Kosar of Asbury Research is no stranger to large technical prices moves either. Back in August 2014, Kosar explained how Asbury caught the first leg down in oil from $112 to $103, and why they though it wasn’t over yet. Yes, $103 was not the low… Good call Mr. Kosar.
Click the link to view the entire Asbury Research blog posting.
The chart below shows updated performance through January 2015 for the Asbury Research trend model for the S&P 500, which we now call the “Correction Protection Model” (CPM) because it’s purpose is to simply stay invested in the stock market as much as possible while avoiding significant declines. We back-tested the model from 2007 forward >>>
To make our intermediate term outlook more readily accessible, we have added a new feature to the Research Center of our website.
Click the link to view the entire Asbury Research Services Update.
The iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) traded as high as $137.41 today to meet our $137.00 upside target, first mentioned in our January 7th report entitled US 10-Year Note: Next Stop 1.88%?, to capture a $5.61, 4.3% gain in 3 weeks.
Click the link for the rest of this alert and the accompanying chart.
Click the link to listen to John’s Kosar’s Thursday January 22nd 2015 interview with James Puplava of the popular Financial Sense website.
The German DAX traded as high as 10,704 today to meet our 10,600 upside target first mentioned in our January 12th Keys To This Week (access requires subscription) and again in our January 13th report entitled What’s Driving US Stocks Today, to capture an 818 point, 8.4% rise in the index in less than 2 weeks.
Click the link to view the accompanying chart.
Yesterday we presented a webinar for the Market Technicians Association (MTA) entitled “US Financial Update for January 2015”, which is a part of the MTA’s Educational Web Series from which members can earn 2 Continuing Education (CE) credits .
Click the link to view the webinar.
The yield of the US 10-Year Treasury Note is currently trading at 1.82% this morning, meeting our 1.88% downside target first mentioned in our January 7th report entitled US 10-Year Note: Next Stop 1.88%? to capture an 8 bps decline in a week’s time.
Click the link to view the entire Alert.
While the financial media and many analysts seem to be focused — if not obsessed — on oil prices’ effect on US equity prices, we have been more keenly focused on European equity prices as global investors contemplate the introduction of quantitative easing by the European Central Bank (ECB).
Click the link to view today’s blog posting and accompanying chart.
The following is a brief excerpt and one of three charts from this morning’s report, entitled Be Wary Of This Morning’s Rally (access requires subscription), which was emailed to Asbury Research subscribers right after the US stock market opening this morning.
The bellwether subsequently S&P 500 peaked at 2072 at 9:45 ET this morning before collapsing by 23 points or 1.1% into this morning’s lows at 2049.
Click the link to view today’s research excerpt and accompanying chart.
Earlier today, about two hours before the closing bell, John Kosar appeared on the Talking Numbers segment of CNBC’s Street Signs to discuss Asbury Research’s forecast and outlook for Cisco Systems (CSCO), which reported its fiscal first quarter earnings after the close.