Following The Money with Asbury Research is a free report that we publish to stay in contact with individuals and businesses that have inquired about our company and services. It includes our Following The Money podcast below. Please Contact Us to comment on this report or to request additional information.
This podcast provides the latest update and overview of our data-driven models — the Asbury 6 (risk management), the Correction Protection Model (wealth preservation), the SEAF Model (sector rotation), the CARP Model (relative performance), and the US vs. The World Model (global asset allocation) — which collectively determine 1) when to be invested, and 2) what to be invested in.
The Asbury 6, our Tactical risk management model, is a combination of six diverse market metrics that we have combined to look beyond the day-to-day, up-and-down noise of the stock market to determine its actual health — in much the same way as a doctor checks patients’ vital signs during an office visit to determine their baseline health.
The “A6” is a lie detector test for the market. It helps us to identify real, sustainable market advances or declines from computer-driven traps for investors — the latter which are often generated by algorithmic (computerized) trading which by some accounts now accounts for as much as 80% of daily market volume.
The Asbury 6, as shown below, switched back to a Positive, Risk On status on March 29th — from Negative Risk Off on February 21st. The S&P 500 has already risen by 2% in the two market sessions since then.
A Positive status in the “A6” indicates the market’s internal health is currently favorable for rising stock prices.
More About The Asbury 6: The Asbury 6, updated daily in our Research Center, is a combination of six diverse market metrics that were combined to look beyond the day-to-day, up-and-down noise of the stock market to determine its real health — in much the same way as a doctor checks the patient’s vital signs during an office visit. The “A6” helps us to identify real, sustainable market advances or declines from computer-driven traps for investors. Four or more metrics in one direction indicate a Tactical bias. The dates in each cell indicate when each individual constituent turned either positive (green) or negative (red). When all Asbury 6 are positive, market internals are the most conducive to adding equities exposure to portfolios.
The chart below shows that the S&P 500′s recent rise from 3900 has resulted in the emergence of a bullish chart pattern, an inverse head and shoulders, that targets an additional 3.4% rise to 4250.
More broadly, the S&P 500’s ability to significantly rise from the critical 3900 area after a month of sideways indecision suggests that the market has become more confident that the index’s rise above the 200-day moving average in late January indicates a major bullish trend change — and the end of the 2022 bear market.
Click the image below to view John Kosar’s March 15th interview by Investors Business Daily.
Disclaimer: This is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be a solicitation to buy or sell securities. The performance indicated from back-testing or historical track record may not be typical of future performance. No inferences may be made and no guarantees of profitability are being stated by Asbury Research LLC. The risk of loss trading in financial assets can be substantial. Therefore, you should carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition.