Global Seasonal Analysis is a monthly report that displays and analyzes annual, quarterly and monthly seasonal trends for 17 global asset prices including equities, benchmark interest rates, foreign exchange, and key commodity prices based on historical data going back to the 1950s.

The following is an excerpt from this month’s report.

US 10-Year Yield Monthly Seasonal Pattern Since 1957

The green bar in the chart below highlights August as, by far, the seasonally weakest month of the year in the yield of the US 10-Year Treasury Note based on data since 1957. It represents the beginning a five-month period of sustained seasonal weakness that runs through December and includes the five weakest months of the year.


The depth of the green bar indicates that, on average since 1957, the yield of the 10-Year has declined by 1.37% in August. The red line shows that these yields have closely tracked their 57-year monthly trend thus far this year.


Click Here To Download The Report (PDF)

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