Global Seasonal Analysis is a monthly report that displays and analyzes annual, quarterly and monthly seasonal trends for 17 global asset prices including equities, benchmark interest rates, foreign exchange, and key commodity prices based on historical data going back to the 1950s.
The following is an excerpt from this month’s report.
Crude Oil 4th Quarter Seasonal Pattern Since 1977
The chart below breaks the seasonal pattern in crude oil prices down further, into a quarterly time frame via 13 weekly increments with December highlighted in green.
The chart shows that the first week of December, the week of December 5th, is the weakest of the 4th Quarter and that the final week of December is by far the strongest of the quarter.