Global Seasonal Analysis is a monthly report that displays and analyzes annual, quarterly and monthly seasonal trends for 17 global asset prices including equities, benchmark interest rates, foreign exchange, and key commodity prices based on historical data going back to the 1950s.

The following is an excerpt from this month’s report.

S&P 500 Yearly Seasonal Pattern Since 1957

In the S&P 500 Index (SPX, chart at upper left), the green bar highlights December as the 3rd seasonally strongest month of the year based on data since 1957.  It represents the end of a seasonally strong 4th Quarter on the heels of a very weak September, and leads into a two-month seasonal decline in January and February.

The height of the green bar on the chart indicates that, on average since 1957, the S&P 500 has closed 1.29% higher in December.  The red line shows that, also on average since 1957, SPX has posted a positive December close 73% of the time, the highest incidence of a positive close for any month during this period.

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Click Here To Download The Report (PDF)

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