Global Seasonal Analysis is a monthly report that displays and analyzes annual, quarterly and monthly seasonal trends for 17 global asset prices including equities, benchmark interest rates, foreign exchange, and key commodity prices based on historical data going back to the 1950s.
The following is an excerpt from this month’s report.
S&P 500 Quarterly Seasonal Pattern For Q4 Since 1957
The next chart breaks the seasonal pattern in the S&P 500 down further, into a quarterly time frame via 13 weekly increments, and highlights the month of October in green.
The chart shows that the fourth week of October is the weakest of the entire 4th Quarter, and that the final week of October and first week of November are the 2nd and 3rd strongest of the quarter.