Choppy Sep-Oct Likely Springboard For Next Trending Phase
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The title of our previous Oct 24th Stock Market Update & Asbury Investment Management Video was If Market Headed Higher Through The Election, Rally Should Begin Here. Chart 1 below shows that the S&P 500 (SPX) actually bottomed a week later, on October 30th, as the benchmark index tested and held formidable underlying support at 3233.
The chart also shows just how volatile SPX has been over the past month, first collapsing by 11% between Sep 2nd and 24th, then rebounding by 11% between Sep 24th and Oct 12th, then declining again by 9% between Oct 12th and 30th, and most recently recovering by 9% last week. In the process, this dizzying near term market volatility has formed a very well-defined pattern of investor indecision between 3523 and 3242. The index finished last week testing the pattern’s upper boundary.
We would view a sustained rise above it, if confirmed by our Correction Protection Model (CPM) and Asbury 6 (A6), as evidence that the larger March advance has resumed. This outcome would actually favor the US broad market’s seasonal tendency to be strong from November through January.
Our latest video below shows how we have navigated these recent market conditions in real-time.
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