It’s Sink Or Swim Time For The Stock Market
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In our previous June 6th Stock Market Update & Asbury Investment Management Video, entitled The Roller Coaster Ride Continues, we pointed out that the benchmark S&P 500 (SPX) had been drifting sideways in a wide range since late April, and that this suggested a very uneasy, uncertain marketplace that has shown an overriding desire to “buy the dip”, no matter what.
That strong, Pavlovian impulse to buy the dip can easily be seen in Chart 1 below. It highlights that SPX is currently making its 7th test of the 50-day moving average just since late January. The US broad market index must remain above this support, which is currently located at 4182 to 4161 and also includes the June 3rd low and the October 2020 uptrend line, to keep the current Tactical uptrend intact.
Meanwhile, Table 2 shows that our Asbury 6 Tactical Model finished last week at an equally balanced three positive and three negative constituent indicators. This underscores the importance of SPX 4182 to 4161 as a key Tactical decision point for the market.
How To Interpret The Asbury 6: Four or more metrics in one direction, either Positive (green) or Negative (red), indicate a Tactical bias. The dates in each cell indicate when each individual constituent of the A6 turned either positive (green) or negative (red). When all Asbury 6 are positive, market internals are the most conducive to adding risk to portfolios. Each negative reading adds an additional element of risk to participating in current or new investment ideas.
A decline below this support, amid a confirming shift to a Negative status by our Asbury 6 (which is updated daily in our Research Center), would indicate that a long-overdue corrective decline is underway.
Our latest video below shows how we have navigated these recent market conditions for client portfolios in real-time.
Asbury Investment Management (AIM): Our Latest Video
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Here is our June 18th Video Review, which explains how we have recently utilized Asbury Research’s market analysis and investment ideas to professionally manage client portfolios.
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